What Is Constellation Brands, Inc. (STZ) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Constellation Brands, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $176.50, suggesting a +31.2% average upside from the current price of $134.52. While 7 models see room for appreciation, model agreement is not unanimous as 3 models flag potential overvaluation. Model dispersion is worth noting: Markov DDM targets $374.25 (+178.2%), versus First Chicago at $66.31 (-50.7%). This +228.9% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology. Among models with highest confidence, EPV lean bullish — adding weight to the bullish side of the thesis.
What Do the Models Say About STZ?
12 of 13 models are currently active for STZ. Of these, 7 models suggest upside while 5 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates STZ's intrinsic value at $98.70, implying -26.6% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does STZ Rank in Beverages?
Among 17 Beverages stocks, STZ ranks #5 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.8/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.8 indicates above-average quality.
As a consumer-facing company, Constellation Brands, Inc. operates in a sector where inventory turnover is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating STZ should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.
Is STZ a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns STZ a score of 20/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
12 of 13 models are active for Constellation Brands, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Constellation Brands, Inc. is rated at 7.8/10. This strong-tier score demonstrates strong fundamentals across the majority of our quality signals.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +228.9% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every STZ valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across STZ's 12 active models, average confidence is 50%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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