Anheuser-Busch InBev SA/NV (BUD) Fair Value 2026

BUD · Beverages - Brewers ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

2.6 /10

32 fundamental signals · 2 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (0/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, Anheuser-Busch InBev SA/NV (BUD) trades at $80.13, versus a $89.60 median fair value across its 2 active models — 11.8% above the current price. QOC: 2.6/10. Value Trap Risk: 0/100 (SAFE). 2/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
BUD
Price
$80.13
Quality Score
2.6/10
Value Trap Risk
0/100
Models Active
2/13
Last Updated
Strength: Regime Cross-Sectional suggests +49.5% upside with 32% confidence
Risk: Below-average Quality Score of 2.6/10 signals weak fundamentals

Is Anheuser-Busch InBev SA/NV (BUD) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 2-model valuation engine, Anheuser-Busch InBev SA/NV (BUD) appears undervalued as of : the median of 2 independent fair value estimates is $89.60, 11.8% above the current price of $80.13. Estimates range from $59.37 to $119.83. BUD scores 2.6/10 on fundamental quality and 0/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. BUD’s +11.8% gap is narrower than that market norm. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Anheuser-Busch InBev SA/NV Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give BUD?

2 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($80.13)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · Medium Conviction
 $59.37 -25.9%
Relative · Medium Conviction
 $119.83 +49.5%

All Models Active

All 2 models are displayed above.

What Is Anheuser-Busch InBev SA/NV (BUD) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Anheuser-Busch InBev SA/NV's intrinsic value is estimated at a median $89.60, showing conflicting signals at the current price of $80.13. While the median implied return is +11.8%, model disagreement is elevated with a gap of +75.5% between the most bullish and bearish estimates. The most optimistic model, Regime Cross, places fair value at $119.83 (+49.5%), while Markov DDM — the most conservative — estimates $59.37 (-25.9%). This +75.5% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Anheuser-Busch InBev SA/NV's intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About BUD?

2 of 13 models are currently active for BUD. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 1 model suggests overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for BUD is $89.60 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does BUD Rank in Beverages - Brewers?

Among 7 Beverages - Brewers stocks, BUD ranks #7 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 2.6/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 2.6 signals below-average fundamentals.

As a consumer sector, Anheuser-Busch InBev SA/NV operates in a sector where e-commerce penetration rate is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating BUD should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is BUD a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns BUD a score of 0/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

2 of 13 models are active for Anheuser-Busch InBev SA/NV. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Anheuser-Busch InBev SA/NV is rated at 2.6/10. This weak-tier score exhibits fundamental weaknesses that warrant careful scrutiny.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +75.5% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every BUD valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across BUD's 2 active models, average confidence is 36%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Anheuser-Busch InBev SA/NV Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Beverages - Brewers Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

6 related Beverages - Brewers stocks with 13-model coverage

FMXFomento Económico Mexicano, S.A.B. de C.V.QOC 8.6ABEVAmbev S.A.QOC 8.2STZConstellation Brands, Inc.QOC 8.2CCUCompañía Cervecerías Unidas S.A.QOC 8.2SAMThe Boston Beer Company, Inc.QOC 7.8TAPMolson Coors Beverage CompanyQOC 6.5

Read investment analysis: FMX · ABEV · STZ · CCU · SAM · TAP

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to BUD?

7 companies across all industries closest to BUD’s Quality of Company score of 2.6/10.

DLODLocal LimitedQOC 2.6AGROAdecoagro S.A.QOC 2.6AGFirst Majestic Silver Corp.QOC 2.7CLWTEuro Tech Holdings Company LimitedQOC 2.6SQMSociedad Química y Minera de Chile S.A.QOC 2.7STMSTMicroelectronics N.V.QOC 2.6NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: DLO · AGRO · AG · CLWT · SQM · STM · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Anheuser-Busch InBev SA/NV’s Valuation?

What is Anheuser-Busch InBev SA/NV's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Anheuser-Busch InBev SA/NV (BUD)'s intrinsic value at $89.60 — the median of 2 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $59.37 to $119.83. The Quality of Company score is 2.6/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is BUD overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $80.13, 1 of 2 active models suggest BUD may be undervalued, while 1 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 2 fair value estimates is $89.60, 11.8% above the current price of $80.13 — a consensus view that BUD is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Anheuser-Busch InBev SA/NV's business model in Beverages - Brewers.

What does a Quality of Company score of 2.6 mean for BUD?

Anheuser-Busch InBev SA/NV's QOC of 2.6/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores below 5 flag potential fundamental weaknesses requiring careful analysis.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on BUD?

CirclFi analyzes BUD with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 2 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is BUD a value trap in 2026?

Anheuser-Busch InBev SA/NV's Value Trap score is 0/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 2-model valuation engine, Anheuser-Busch InBev SA/NV (BUD) has a median fair value of $89.60 — 11.8% above the current price of $80.13 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/BUD/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this BUD valuation
  • Financial statements: Anheuser-Busch InBev SA/NV 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001668717) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for BUD as of ; valuations recomputed .