What Is Boston Beer Company, Inc. (The) (SAM) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the balance of valuation evidence tilts cautious on Boston Beer Company, Inc. (The) at its current price of $172.24. The composite intrinsic value is estimated at $128.00 (-25.7% average return), with 8 models flagging overvaluation risk. The most optimistic model, RCMH-DCF, places fair value at $254.90 (+48.0%), while Dynamic NAV — the most conservative — estimates $31.79 (-81.5%). This +129.5% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Boston Beer Company, Inc. (The)'s intrinsic worth.
What Do the Models Say About SAM?
13 of 13 models are currently active for SAM. Of these, 5 models suggest upside while 8 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates SAM's intrinsic value at $232.52, implying +35.0% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does SAM Rank in Malt Beverages?
Among 4 Malt Beverages stocks, SAM ranks #2 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.7/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.7 indicates above-average quality.
Within the Malt Beverages space, Boston Beer Company, Inc. (The) competes in an environment where inventory turnover often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.
Is SAM a Value Trap?
The Value Trap algorithm is not active for SAM. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
13 of 13 models are active for Boston Beer Company, Inc. (The). Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Boston Beer Company, Inc. (The)'s fundamental quality profile registers 7.7/10. This robust score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +129.5% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every SAM valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across SAM's 13 active models, average confidence is 39%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →