Buda Juice, Inc. (BUDA) Fair Value 2026

BUDA · Beverages - Non-Alcoholic ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.6 /10

32 fundamental signals · 11 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (0/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Buda Juice, Inc. (BUDA) trades at $8.49, versus a $5.81 median fair value across its 11 active models — 31.6% below the current price. QOC: 8.6/10. Value Trap Risk: 0/100 (SAFE). 11/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $2.85.

Key Facts

Ticker
BUDA
Price
$8.49
Quality Score
8.6/10
Value Trap Risk
0/100
Models Active
11/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +25.7% upside with 47% confidence
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Buda Juice, Inc. (BUDA) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, Buda Juice, Inc. (BUDA) appears overvalued as of : the median of 11 independent fair value estimates is $5.81, 31.6% below the current price of $8.49. Estimates range from $2.85 to $11.65. BUDA scores 8.6/10 on fundamental quality and 0/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. BUDA’s -31.6% gap is wider than that market norm. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Buda Juice, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give BUDA?

11 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($8.49)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $2.85 -66.4%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $4.16 -51.0%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $5.81 -31.6%
Scenario · Medium Conviction
 $10.68 +25.7%
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What Is BUDA's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 11 independent models · $2.85 to $11.65

CirclFi's 11 active models place Buda Juice, Inc. (BUDA) between $2.85 and $11.65 per share, a spread of 151% of the median. The median of that range — $5.81 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for BUDA, against a current price of $8.49.

Low · Bayesian DCFHigh · Regime Cross
$2.85median $5.81$11.65
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelBayesian DCF$2.85
Most bullish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$11.65
Model agreement3 bullish · 8 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for BUDA. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on BUDA, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Buda Juice, Inc. (BUDA) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Buda Juice, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a median fair value of $5.81. Trading at $8.49, the stock is approaching fair value or slight overvaluation (implied return of -31.6%), as 8 of 11 models suggest limited further upside. Model dispersion is worth noting: Regime Cross targets $11.65 (+37.2%), versus Bayesian DCF at $2.85 (-66.4%). This +103.7% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About BUDA?

11 of 13 models are currently active for BUDA. Of these, 3 models suggest upside while 8 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for BUDA is $5.81 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $2.85 on its own, implying -66.4% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does BUDA Rank in Beverages - Non-Alcoholic?

Among 20 Beverages - Non-Alcoholic stocks, BUDA ranks #9 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.6/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.6 places BUDA in the top tier.

Buda Juice, Inc.'s positioning within the Beverages - Non-Alcoholic segment means that same-store sales growth (comps) plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including brand loyalty and pricing power — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.

Is BUDA a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns BUDA a score of 0/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

11 of 13 models are active for Buda Juice, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Buda Juice, Inc. earns a quality score of 8.6/10. This robust rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +103.7% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every BUDA valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across BUDA's 11 active models, average confidence is 45%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Buda Juice, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Beverages - Non-Alcoholic Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Beverages - Non-Alcoholic stocks with 13-model coverage

FIZZNational Beverage Corp.QOC 8.6KDPKeurig Dr Pepper Inc.QOC 8.2MNSTMonster Beverage CorporationQOC 8.7PEPPepsiCo, Inc.QOC 8.1COCOThe Vita Coco Company, Inc.QOC 8.8MOJOEQUATOR Beverage CompanyQOC 7.2PRMBPrimo Brands CorporationQOC 6.0BNKKBonk, Inc.QOC 4.9KOFCoca-Cola FEMSA, S.A.B. de C.V.QOC 8.8CCEPCoca-Cola Europacific Partners PLCQOC 9.1COKECoca-Cola Consolidated, Inc.QOC 9.1

Read investment analysis: FIZZ · KDP · MNST · PEP · COCO · MOJO · PRMB · BNKK · KOF · CCEP · COKE

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to BUDA?

7 companies across all industries closest to BUDA’s Quality of Company score of 8.6/10.

CASYCasey's General Stores, Inc.QOC 8.6FBIZFirst Business Financial Services, Inc.QOC 8.6ODFLOld Dominion Freight Line, Inc.QOC 8.6TRNOTerreno Realty CorporationQOC 8.6INVAInnoviva, Inc.QOC 8.6TRTootsie Roll Industries, Inc.QOC 8.6NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: CASY · FBIZ · ODFL · TRNO · INVA · TR · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Buda Juice, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Buda Juice, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Buda Juice, Inc. (BUDA)'s intrinsic value at $5.81 — the median of 11 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $2.85 to $11.65. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $2.85 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 8.6/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is BUDA overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $8.49, 3 of 11 active models suggest BUDA may be undervalued, while 8 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 11 fair value estimates is $5.81, 31.6% below the current price of $8.49 — a consensus view that BUDA is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Buda Juice, Inc.'s business model in Beverages - Non-Alcoholic.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.6 mean for BUDA?

Buda Juice, Inc.'s QOC of 8.6/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on BUDA?

CirclFi analyzes BUDA with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 11 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on BUDA?

Of the 11 models currently active on BUDA, Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bullish at $11.65 per share, and Bayesian DCF is the most bearish at $2.85. CirclFi's published fair value for BUDA is the median of that range, $5.81, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 151% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is BUDA a value trap in 2026?

Buda Juice, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 0/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, Buda Juice, Inc. (BUDA) has a median fair value of $5.81 — 31.6% below the current price of $8.49 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/BUDA/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this BUDA valuation
  • Financial statements: Buda Juice, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0002079720) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for BUDA as of ; valuations recomputed .

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