Nobility Homes, Inc. (NOBH) Fair Value 2026

NOBH · Residential Construction ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.2 /10

32 fundamental signals · 11 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (6/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Nobility Homes, Inc. (NOBH) trades at $28.01, versus a $32.64 median fair value across its 11 active models — 16.5% above the current price. QOC: 8.2/10. Value Trap Risk: 6/100 (SAFE). 11/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $15.07.

Key Facts

Ticker
NOBH
Price
$28.01
Quality Score
8.2/10
Value Trap Risk
6/100
Models Active
11/13
Last Updated
Strength: Earnings Power Value suggests +21.0% upside with 72% confidence
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Nobility Homes, Inc. (NOBH) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, Nobility Homes, Inc. (NOBH) appears undervalued as of : the median of 11 independent fair value estimates is $32.64, 16.5% above the current price of $28.01. Estimates range from $12.06 to $44.04. NOBH scores 8.2/10 on fundamental quality and 6/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. NOBH’s +16.5% gap is narrower than that market norm, and the Residential Construction sector median is -15.3%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Nobility Homes, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give NOBH?

11 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($28.01)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $15.07 -46.2%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $33.90 +21.0%
Ensemble · Medium Conviction
 $27.49 -1.9%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $24.13 -13.9%
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What Is NOBH's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 11 independent models · $12.06 to $44.04

CirclFi's 11 active models place Nobility Homes, Inc. (NOBH) between $12.06 and $44.04 per share, a spread of 98% of the median. The median of that range — $32.64 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for NOBH, against a current price of $28.01.

Low · Dynamic NAVHigh · Sentiment SOTP
$12.06median $32.64$44.04
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelDynamic NAV$12.06
Most bullish modelSentiment SOTP$44.04
Model agreement6 bullish · 4 bearishmoderate

A band of this width is typical. The methods agree on direction but weight growth, reinvestment and risk differently, so treat the median as a centre of gravity rather than a precise target.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on NOBH, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Nobility Homes, Inc. (NOBH) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Nobility Homes, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $32.64, presenting a divided outlook at the current price of $28.01. With a median implied return of +16.5% across a split 6–4 (bull–bear) consensus, the model spread of +114.2% underscores analytical uncertainty. Notably, Sentiment SOTP sees the most upside at +57.2% (fair value: $44.04), while Dynamic NAV is the most conservative at -56.9% ($12.06). The spread between these extremes — +114.2% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions. Among models with highest confidence, EPV lean bullish — adding weight to the bullish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About NOBH?

11 of 13 models are currently active for NOBH. Of these, 6 models suggest upside while 5 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for NOBH is $32.64 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $15.07 on its own, implying -46.2% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does NOBH Rank in Residential Construction?

Among 21 Residential Construction stocks, NOBH ranks #9 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.2/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.2 places NOBH in the top tier.

As a manufacturing company, Nobility Homes, Inc. operates in a sector where working capital efficiency is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating NOBH should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is NOBH a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns NOBH a score of 6/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

11 of 13 models are active for Nobility Homes, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Nobility Homes, Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 8.2/10. This robust score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +114.2% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every NOBH valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across NOBH's 11 active models, average confidence is 50%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Nobility Homes, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Residential Construction Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Residential Construction stocks with 13-model coverage

DHID.R. Horton, Inc.QOC 8.4MHOM/I Homes, Inc.QOC 8.1PHMPulteGroup, Inc.QOC 8.5KBHKB HomeQOC 8.1NVRNVR, Inc.QOC 8.7LEGHLegacy Housing CorporationQOC 7.8MTHMeritage Homes CorporationQOC 7.1BXBLBoxabl Inc.QOC 6.1SKYChampion Homes, Inc.QOC 9.0IBPInstalled Building Products, Inc.QOC 9.2TOLToll Brothers, Inc.QOC 9.0

Read investment analysis: DHI · MHO · PHM · KBH · NVR · LEGH · MTH · BXBL · SKY · IBP · TOL

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to NOBH?

7 companies across all industries closest to NOBH’s Quality of Company score of 8.2/10.

BCALCalifornia BanCorpQOC 8.2PGYPagaya Technologies Ltd.QOC 8.2NGVTIngevity CorporationQOC 8.2RAILFreightCar America, Inc.QOC 8.2PANLPangaea Logistics Solutions Ltd.QOC 8.2AERAerCap Holdings N.V.QOC 8.2NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: BCAL · PGY · NGVT · RAIL · PANL · AER · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Nobility Homes, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Nobility Homes, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Nobility Homes, Inc. (NOBH)'s intrinsic value at $32.64 — the median of 11 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $12.06 to $44.04. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $15.07 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 8.2/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is NOBH overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $28.01, 6 of 11 active models suggest NOBH may be undervalued, while 5 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 11 fair value estimates is $32.64, 16.5% above the current price of $28.01 — a consensus view that NOBH is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Nobility Homes, Inc.'s business model in Residential Construction.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.2 mean for NOBH?

Nobility Homes, Inc.'s QOC of 8.2/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on NOBH?

CirclFi analyzes NOBH with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 11 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on NOBH?

Of the 11 models currently active on NOBH, Sentiment SOTP is the most bullish at $44.04 per share, and Dynamic NAV is the most bearish at $12.06. CirclFi's published fair value for NOBH is the median of that range, $32.64, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 98% of the median — a normal spread for a company of this profile. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is NOBH a value trap in 2026?

Nobility Homes, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 6/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, Nobility Homes, Inc. (NOBH) has a median fair value of $32.64 — 16.5% above the current price of $28.01 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/NOBH/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this NOBH valuation
  • Financial statements: Nobility Homes, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000072205) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for NOBH as of ; valuations recomputed .

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