Legacy Housing Corporation (LEGH) Fair Value 2026

LEGH · Residential Construction ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.8 /10

32 fundamental signals · 11 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (24/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Legacy Housing Corporation (LEGH) trades at $28.37, versus a $18.87 median fair value across its 11 active models — 33.5% below the current price. QOC: 7.8/10. Value Trap Risk: 24/100 (SAFE). 11/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $4.04.

Key Facts

Ticker
LEGH
Price
$28.37
Quality Score
7.8/10
Value Trap Risk
24/100
Models Active
11/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +29.1% upside with 50% confidence
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Legacy Housing Corporation (LEGH) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, Legacy Housing Corporation (LEGH) appears overvalued as of : the median of 11 independent fair value estimates is $18.87, 33.5% below the current price of $28.37. Estimates range from $4.04 to $36.62. LEGH scores 7.8/10 on fundamental quality and 24/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. LEGH’s -33.5% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Residential Construction sector median is -15.3%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Legacy Housing Corporation Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give LEGH?

11 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($28.37)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $4.04 -85.8%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $18.49 -34.8%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $16.93 -40.3%
Scenario · Medium Conviction
 $36.62 +29.1%
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What Is LEGH's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 11 independent models · $4.04 to $36.62

CirclFi's 11 active models place Legacy Housing Corporation (LEGH) between $4.04 and $36.62 per share, a spread of 173% of the median. The median of that range — $18.87 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for LEGH, against a current price of $28.37.

Low · Bayesian DCFHigh · First Chicago
$4.04median $18.87$36.62
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelBayesian DCF$4.04
Most bullish modelFirst Chicago$36.62
Model agreement1 bullish · 10 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for LEGH. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on LEGH, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Legacy Housing Corporation (LEGH) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Legacy Housing Corporation's intrinsic value is estimated at $18.87. Trading at its current price of $28.37, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 10 of 11 models flag downside risk, projecting a median implied return of -33.5%. The most optimistic model, First Chicago, places fair value at $36.62 (+29.1%), while Bayesian DCF — the most conservative — estimates $4.04 (-85.8%). This +114.8% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Legacy Housing Corporation's intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About LEGH?

11 of 13 models are currently active for LEGH. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 10 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for LEGH is $18.87 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $4.04 on its own, implying -85.8% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does LEGH Rank in Residential Construction?

Among 21 Residential Construction stocks, LEGH ranks #12 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.8/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.8 indicates above-average quality.

The Residential Construction sector introduces analytical considerations specific to industrial businesses. For Legacy Housing Corporation, metrics like capacity utilization rate provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.

Is LEGH a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns LEGH a score of 24/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

11 of 13 models are active for Legacy Housing Corporation. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Legacy Housing Corporation scores 7.8 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a strong rating that demonstrates strong fundamentals across the majority of our quality signals. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +114.8% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every LEGH valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across LEGH's 11 active models, average confidence is 43%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Legacy Housing Corporation Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Residential Construction Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

10 related Residential Construction stocks with 13-model coverage

KBHKB HomeQOC 8.1LENLennar CorporationQOC 7.4MHOM/I Homes, Inc.QOC 8.1MTHMeritage Homes CorporationQOC 7.1NOBHNobility Homes, Inc.QOC 8.2DFHDream Finders Homes, Inc.QOC 6.9BZHBeazer Homes USA, Inc.QOC 6.7IBPInstalled Building Products, Inc.QOC 9.2NVRNVR, Inc.QOC 8.7TOLToll Brothers, Inc.QOC 9.0

Read investment analysis: KBH · LEN · MHO · MTH · NOBH · DFH · BZH · IBP · NVR · TOL

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to LEGH?

7 companies across all industries closest to LEGH’s Quality of Company score of 7.8/10.

METMetLife, Inc.QOC 7.8GPIGroup 1 Automotive, Inc.QOC 7.8BVCBitVentures LimitedQOC 7.8DOOBRP Inc.QOC 7.8NWGNatWest Group plcQOC 7.8MARMarriott International, Inc.QOC 7.8NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: MET · GPI · BVC · DOO · NWG · MAR · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Legacy Housing Corporation’s Valuation?

What is Legacy Housing Corporation's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Legacy Housing Corporation (LEGH)'s intrinsic value at $18.87 — the median of 11 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $4.04 to $36.62. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $4.04 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 7.8/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is LEGH overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $28.37, 1 of 11 active models suggest LEGH may be undervalued, while 10 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 11 fair value estimates is $18.87, 33.5% below the current price of $28.37 — a consensus view that LEGH is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Legacy Housing Corporation's business model in Residential Construction.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.8 mean for LEGH?

Legacy Housing Corporation's QOC of 7.8/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on LEGH?

CirclFi analyzes LEGH with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 11 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on LEGH?

Of the 11 models currently active on LEGH, First Chicago is the most bullish at $36.62 per share, and Bayesian DCF is the most bearish at $4.04. CirclFi's published fair value for LEGH is the median of that range, $18.87, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 173% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is LEGH a value trap in 2026?

Legacy Housing Corporation's Value Trap score is 24/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, Legacy Housing Corporation (LEGH) has a median fair value of $18.87 — 33.5% below the current price of $28.37 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/LEGH/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this LEGH valuation
  • Financial statements: Legacy Housing Corporation 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001436208) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for LEGH as of ; valuations recomputed .

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