Installed Building Products, Inc. (IBP) Fair Value 2026

IBP · Residential Construction ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

9.2 /10

32 fundamental signals · 10 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (0/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Installed Building Products, Inc. (IBP) trades at $240.86, versus a $120.33 median fair value across its 10 active models — 50.0% below the current price. QOC: 9.2/10. Value Trap Risk: 0/100 (SAFE). 10/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $137.54.

Key Facts

Ticker
IBP
Price
$240.86
Quality Score
9.2/10
Value Trap Risk
0/100
Models Active
10/13
Last Updated
Strength: Quality Score of 9.2/10 indicates strong fundamentals
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Installed Building Products, Inc. (IBP) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, Installed Building Products, Inc. (IBP) appears overvalued as of : the median of 10 independent fair value estimates is $120.33, 50.0% below the current price of $240.86. Estimates range from $43.17 to $201.00. IBP scores 9.2/10 on fundamental quality and 0/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. IBP’s -50.0% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Residential Construction sector median is -15.3%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Installed Building Products, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give IBP?

10 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($240.86)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $137.54 -42.9%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $55.05 -77.1%
Ensemble · Medium Conviction
 $104.93 -56.4%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $201.00 -16.5%
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What Is IBP's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 10 independent models · $43.17 to $201.00

CirclFi's 10 active models place Installed Building Products, Inc. (IBP) between $43.17 and $201.00 per share, a spread of 131% of the median. The median of that range — $120.33 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for IBP, against a current price of $240.86.

Low · EROICHigh · First Chicago
$43.17median $120.33$201.00
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelEROIC Spread$43.17
Most bullish modelFirst Chicago$201.00
Model agreement0 bullish · 10 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for IBP. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on IBP, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Installed Building Products, Inc. (IBP) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Installed Building Products, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $120.33, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $240.86. With 10 out of 10 models flagging downside (-50.0% vs price), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. The most optimistic model, First Chicago, places fair value at $201.00 (-16.5%), while EROIC — the most conservative — estimates $43.17 (-82.1%). This +65.5% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Installed Building Products, Inc.'s intrinsic worth. Among models with highest confidence, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About IBP?

10 of 13 models are currently active for IBP. All 10 active models suggest the stock trades above fair value. Taken together, their median fair value for IBP is $120.33 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $137.54 on its own, implying -42.9% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does IBP Rank in Residential Construction?

Among 21 Residential Construction stocks, IBP ranks #1 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 9.2/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 9.2 places IBP in the top tier.

Within the Residential Construction space, Installed Building Products, Inc. competes in an environment where order backlog depth often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.

Is IBP a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns IBP a score of 0/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

10 of 13 models are active for Installed Building Products, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Installed Building Products, Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 9.2/10. This exceptional score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +65.5% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every IBP valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across IBP's 10 active models, average confidence is 53%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Installed Building Products, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Residential Construction Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

9 related Residential Construction stocks with 13-model coverage

VNJAVanjia CorporationQOC 5.6TOLToll Brothers, Inc.QOC 9.0SPHLSpringview Holdings LtdQOC 5.8SKYChampion Homes, Inc.QOC 9.0BXBLBoxabl Inc.QOC 6.1GRBKGreen Brick Partners, Inc.QOC 8.9NVRNVR, Inc.QOC 8.7KBHKB HomeQOC 8.1HOVHovnanian Enterprises, Inc.QOC 6.9

Read investment analysis: VNJA · TOL · SPHL · SKY · BXBL · GRBK · NVR · KBH · HOV

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to IBP?

7 companies across all industries closest to IBP’s Quality of Company score of 9.2/10.

CWCurtiss-Wright CorporationQOC 9.2HESMHess Midstream LPQOC 9.2DXCMDexCom, Inc.QOC 9.2AUPHAurinia Pharmaceuticals Inc.QOC 9.2UPWKUpwork Inc.QOC 9.2CSLCarlisle Companies IncorporatedQOC 9.2NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: CW · HESM · DXCM · AUPH · UPWK · CSL · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Installed Building Products, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Installed Building Products, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Installed Building Products, Inc. (IBP)'s intrinsic value at $120.33 — the median of 10 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $43.17 to $201.00. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $137.54 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 9.2/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is IBP overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $240.86, 0 of 10 active models suggest IBP may be undervalued, while 10 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 10 fair value estimates is $120.33, 50.0% below the current price of $240.86 — a consensus view that IBP is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Installed Building Products, Inc.'s business model in Residential Construction.

What does a Quality of Company score of 9.2 mean for IBP?

Installed Building Products, Inc.'s QOC of 9.2/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on IBP?

CirclFi analyzes IBP with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 10 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on IBP?

Of the 10 models currently active on IBP, First Chicago is the most bullish at $201.00 per share, and EROIC Spread is the most bearish at $43.17. CirclFi's published fair value for IBP is the median of that range, $120.33, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 131% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is IBP a value trap in 2026?

Installed Building Products, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 0/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, Installed Building Products, Inc. (IBP) has a median fair value of $120.33 — 50.0% below the current price of $240.86 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/IBP/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this IBP valuation
  • Financial statements: Installed Building Products, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001580905) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for IBP as of ; valuations recomputed .

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