Arbe Robotics Ltd. (ARBE) Fair Value 2026

ARBE · Scientific & Technical Instruments ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

2.1 /10

32 fundamental signals · 9 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (12/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, Arbe Robotics Ltd. (ARBE) trades at $0.69, approximately 291% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $0.18. QOC: 2.1/10. Value Trap Risk: 12/100 (SAFE). 9/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
ARBE
Price
$0.69
Quality Score
2.1/10
Value Trap Risk
12/100
Models Active
9/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +81.0% upside with 11% confidence
Risk: Below-average Quality Score of 2.1/10 signals weak fundamentals

Valuation Matrix

9 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($0.69)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
Low Conviction
$0.18 -74.5%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$0.43 -37.2%
First Chicago
Low Conviction
$1.25 +81.0%
PWERM
Medium Conviction
$0.68 -1.4%

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What Is Arbe Robotics Ltd. (ARBE) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Arbe Robotics Ltd.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a composite fair value of $0.47. Trading at $0.69, the stock is approaching fair value or slight overvaluation (implied return of -31.8%), as 6 of 9 models suggest limited further upside. The most optimistic model, First Chicago, places fair value at $1.25 (+81.0%), while Regime Cross — the most conservative — estimates $0.01 (-98.5%). This +179.5% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Arbe Robotics Ltd.'s intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About ARBE?

9 of 13 models are currently active for ARBE. Of these, 2 models suggest upside while 7 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates ARBE's intrinsic value at $0.18, implying -74.5% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does ARBE Rank in Scientific & Technical Instruments?

Among 4 Scientific & Technical Instruments stocks, ARBE ranks #4 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 2.1/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 2.1 signals below-average fundamentals.

Arbe Robotics Ltd. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is ARBE a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns ARBE a score of 12/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

9 of 13 models are active for Arbe Robotics Ltd.. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Arbe Robotics Ltd. earns a quality score of 2.1/10. This concerning rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +179.5% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every ARBE valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across ARBE's 9 active models, average confidence is 13%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Arbe Robotics Ltd. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

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Frequently Asked Questions About Arbe Robotics Ltd.

What is Arbe Robotics Ltd.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Arbe Robotics Ltd. (ARBE) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $0.18. The Quality of Company score is 2.1/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is ARBE overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $0.69, 2 of 9 active models suggest ARBE may be undervalued, while 7 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Arbe Robotics Ltd.'s business model in Scientific & Technical Instruments.

What does a Quality of Company score of 2.1 mean for ARBE?

Arbe Robotics Ltd.'s QOC of 2.1/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores below 5 flag potential fundamental weaknesses requiring careful analysis.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on ARBE?

CirclFi analyzes ARBE with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 9 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is ARBE a value trap in 2026?

Arbe Robotics Ltd.'s Value Trap score is 12/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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