Syntec Optics Holdings, Inc. (OPTX) Fair Value 2026

OPTX · Electronic Components ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.0 /10

32 fundamental signals · 5 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (21/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Syntec Optics Holdings, Inc. (OPTX) trades at $8.73, versus a $0.67 median fair value across its 5 active models — 92.3% below the current price. QOC: 6.0/10. Value Trap Risk: 21/100 (SAFE). 5/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $0.16.

Key Facts

Ticker
OPTX
Price
$8.73
Quality Score
6.0/10
Value Trap Risk
21/100
Models Active
5/13
Last Updated
Strength: 5 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Syntec Optics Holdings, Inc. (OPTX) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 5-model valuation engine, Syntec Optics Holdings, Inc. (OPTX) appears overvalued as of : the median of 5 independent fair value estimates is $0.67, 92.3% below the current price of $8.73. Estimates range from $0.16 to $1.61. OPTX scores 6.0/10 on fundamental quality and 21/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. OPTX’s -92.3% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Electronic Components sector median is -58.7%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Syntec Optics Holdings, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give OPTX?

5 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($8.73)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · Low Conviction
 $0.16 -98.2%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $0.67 -92.3%
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What Is OPTX's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 5 independent models · $0.16 to $1.61

CirclFi's 5 active models place Syntec Optics Holdings, Inc. (OPTX) between $0.16 and $1.61 per share, a spread of 215% of the median. The median of that range — $0.67 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for OPTX, against a current price of $8.73.

Low · Bayesian DCFHigh · FTNN
$0.16median $0.67$1.61
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelBayesian DCF$0.16
Most bullish modelFTNN Topology$1.61
Model agreement0 bullish · 5 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for OPTX. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on OPTX, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Syntec Optics Holdings, Inc. (OPTX) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Syntec Optics Holdings, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $0.67, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $8.73. With 5 out of 5 models flagging downside (-92.3% vs price), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth.

What Do the Models Say About OPTX?

5 of 13 models are currently active for OPTX. All 5 active models suggest the stock trades above fair value. Taken together, their median fair value for OPTX is $0.67 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $0.16 on its own, implying -98.2% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does OPTX Rank in Electronic Components?

Among 46 Electronic Components stocks, OPTX ranks #37 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.0/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.0 reflects mixed fundamentals.

Syntec Optics Holdings, Inc. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is OPTX a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns OPTX a score of 21/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

5 of 13 models are active for Syntec Optics Holdings, Inc.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Syntec Optics Holdings, Inc. is rated at 6.0/10. This solid-tier score maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement.

Models cluster within a tight range (+16.6% spread), increasing conviction. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every OPTX valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across OPTX's 5 active models, average confidence is 25%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Syntec Optics Holdings, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Electronic Components Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

10 related Electronic Components stocks with 13-model coverage

KULRKULR Technology Group, Inc.QOC 6.3REFRResearch Frontiers IncorporatedQOC 6.0LPTHLightPath Technologies, Inc.QOC 6.3RALRalliant CorporationQOC 5.5FSTJFirst America Resources CorporationQOC 6.5MSAIMultiSensor AI Holdings, Inc.QOC 5.3APHAmphenol CorporationQOC 9.3PLXSPlexus Corp.QOC 8.5ROGRogers CorporationQOC 7.4CLSCelestica Inc.QOC 9.4

Read investment analysis: KULR · REFR · LPTH · RAL · FSTJ · MSAI · APH · PLXS · ROG · CLS

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to OPTX?

7 companies across all industries closest to OPTX’s Quality of Company score of 6.0/10.

DGXXDigi Power X Inc.QOC 6.0CAICaris Life Sciences, Inc.QOC 6.0CABRCaring Brands, Inc.QOC 6.0KANPKaanapali Land, LLCQOC 6.0NAMIJinxin Technology Holding CompanyQOC 6.0PXEDPhoenix Education Partners, Inc.QOC 6.0NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: DGXX · CAI · CABR · KANP · NAMI · PXED · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Syntec Optics Holdings, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Syntec Optics Holdings, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Syntec Optics Holdings, Inc. (OPTX)'s intrinsic value at $0.67 — the median of 5 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $0.16 to $1.61. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $0.16 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 6.0/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is OPTX overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $8.73, 0 of 5 active models suggest OPTX may be undervalued, while 5 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 5 fair value estimates is $0.67, 92.3% below the current price of $8.73 — a consensus view that OPTX is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Syntec Optics Holdings, Inc.'s business model in Electronic Components.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.0 mean for OPTX?

Syntec Optics Holdings, Inc.'s QOC of 6.0/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on OPTX?

CirclFi analyzes OPTX with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 5 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on OPTX?

Of the 5 models currently active on OPTX, FTNN Topology is the most bullish at $1.61 per share, and Bayesian DCF is the most bearish at $0.16. CirclFi's published fair value for OPTX is the median of that range, $0.67, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 215% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is OPTX a value trap in 2026?

Syntec Optics Holdings, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 21/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 5-model valuation engine, Syntec Optics Holdings, Inc. (OPTX) has a median fair value of $0.67 — 92.3% below the current price of $8.73 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/OPTX/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this OPTX valuation
  • Financial statements: Syntec Optics Holdings, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001866816) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for OPTX as of ; valuations recomputed .

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