LightPath Technologies, Inc. (LPTH) Fair Value 2026

LPTH · Electronic Components ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.3 /10

32 fundamental signals · 2 models active

Value Trap Risk

WARN (48/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, LightPath Technologies, Inc. (LPTH) trades at $11.23, versus a $1.91 median fair value across its 2 active models — 83.0% below the current price. QOC: 6.3/10. Value Trap Risk: 48/100 (WARN). 2/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
LPTH
Price
$11.23
Quality Score
6.3/10
Value Trap Risk
48/100
Models Active
2/13
Last Updated
Strength: 2 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Value Trap score of 48 suggests caution despite apparent undervaluation

Is LightPath Technologies, Inc. (LPTH) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 2-model valuation engine, LightPath Technologies, Inc. (LPTH) appears overvalued as of : the median of 2 independent fair value estimates is $1.91, 83.0% below the current price of $11.23. Estimates range from $0.88 to $2.94. LPTH scores 6.3/10 on fundamental quality and 48/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. LPTH’s -83.0% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Electronic Components sector median is -58.0%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy LightPath Technologies, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give LPTH?

2 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($11.23)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Relative · Medium Conviction
 $0.88 -92.2%
Relative · Low Conviction
 $2.94 -73.8%

All Models Active

All 2 models are displayed above.

What Is LightPath Technologies, Inc. (LPTH) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, LightPath Technologies, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $1.91. Trading at its current price of $11.23, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 2 of 2 models flag downside risk, projecting a median implied return of -83.0%.

What Do the Models Say About LPTH?

2 of 13 models are currently active for LPTH. All 2 active models suggest the stock trades above fair value. Taken together, their median fair value for LPTH is $1.91 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does LPTH Rank in Electronic Components?

Among 46 Electronic Components stocks, LPTH ranks #35 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.3/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.3 indicates above-average quality.

LightPath Technologies, Inc. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is LPTH a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns LPTH a score of 48/100 (WARN). This is a warning signal. Additional research into recent 10-Q filings is recommended. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

2 of 13 models are active for LightPath Technologies, Inc.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, LightPath Technologies, Inc. earns a quality score of 6.3/10. This respectable rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency. Our Value Trap detector shows moderate caution signals worth monitoring.

Models cluster within a tight range (+18.3% spread), increasing conviction. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every LPTH valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across LPTH's 2 active models, average confidence is 28%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy LightPath Technologies, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Electronic Components Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Electronic Components stocks with 13-model coverage

FSTJFirst America Resources CorporationQOC 6.5KULRKULR Technology Group, Inc.QOC 6.3IEHCIEH CorporationQOC 6.5OPTXSyntec Optics Holdings, Inc.QOC 6.0LINKInterlink Electronics, Inc.QOC 6.6REFRResearch Frontiers IncorporatedQOC 6.0OSTOstin Technology Group Co., Ltd.QOC 2.2FLEXFlex Ltd.QOC 8.5DSWLDeswell Industries, Inc.QOC 7.6CLSCelestica Inc.QOC 9.4APHAmphenol CorporationQOC 9.3

Read investment analysis: FSTJ · KULR · IEHC · OPTX · LINK · REFR · OST · FLEX · DSWL · CLS · APH

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to LPTH?

7 companies across all industries closest to LPTH’s Quality of Company score of 6.3/10.

NNDMNano Dimension Ltd.QOC 6.3MDUMDU Resources Group, Inc.QOC 6.3ELVGElvictor Group, Inc.QOC 6.3YOULYoulife Group Inc.QOC 6.3VTGNVistagen Therapeutics, Inc.QOC 6.3FLLFull House Resorts, Inc.QOC 6.3NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: NNDM · MDU · ELVG · YOUL · VTGN · FLL · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About LightPath Technologies, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is LightPath Technologies, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts LightPath Technologies, Inc. (LPTH)'s intrinsic value at $1.91 — the median of 2 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $0.88 to $2.94. The Quality of Company score is 6.3/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is LPTH overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $11.23, 0 of 2 active models suggest LPTH may be undervalued, while 2 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 2 fair value estimates is $1.91, 83.0% below the current price of $11.23 — a consensus view that LPTH is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits LightPath Technologies, Inc.'s business model in Electronic Components.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.3 mean for LPTH?

LightPath Technologies, Inc.'s QOC of 6.3/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on LPTH?

CirclFi analyzes LPTH with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 2 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is LPTH a value trap in 2026?

LightPath Technologies, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 48/100 (WARN). This elevated score suggests the stock may look undervalued but faces deteriorating fundamentals — declining margins, rising debt, or shrinking revenue could make the apparent discount deceptive. Browse our ranked stock lists to compare value-trap scores across industries. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 2-model valuation engine, LightPath Technologies, Inc. (LPTH) has a median fair value of $1.91 — 83.0% below the current price of $11.23 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/LPTH/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this LPTH valuation
  • Financial statements: LightPath Technologies, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000889971) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for LPTH as of ; valuations recomputed .