Rambus Inc. (RMBS) Fair Value 2026

RMBS · Semiconductors ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

9.4 /10

32 fundamental signals · 9 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (0/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Rambus Inc. (RMBS) trades at $91.11, versus a $44.34 median fair value across its 9 active models — 51.3% below the current price. QOC: 9.4/10. Value Trap Risk: 0/100 (SAFE). 9/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $29.53.

Key Facts

Ticker
RMBS
Price
$91.11
Quality Score
9.4/10
Value Trap Risk
0/100
Models Active
9/13
Last Updated
Strength: Quality Score of 9.4/10 indicates strong fundamentals
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Rambus Inc. (RMBS) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 9-model valuation engine, Rambus Inc. (RMBS) appears overvalued as of : the median of 9 independent fair value estimates is $44.34, 51.3% below the current price of $91.11. Estimates range from $12.22 to $151.60. RMBS scores 9.4/10 on fundamental quality and 0/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. RMBS’s -51.3% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Semiconductors sector median is -62.5%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Rambus Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give RMBS?

9 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($91.11)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $29.53 -67.6%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $44.34 -51.3%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $70.25 -22.9%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $18.21 -80.0%
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What Is RMBS's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 9 independent models · $12.22 to $151.60

CirclFi's 9 active models place Rambus Inc. (RMBS) between $12.22 and $151.60 per share, a spread of 314% of the median. The median of that range — $44.34 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for RMBS, against a current price of $91.11.

Low · ML-RIVHigh · Regime Cross
$12.22median $44.34$151.60
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelML Residual Income$12.22
Most bullish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$151.60
Model agreement1 bullish · 7 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for RMBS. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on RMBS, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Rambus Inc. (RMBS) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Rambus Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $44.34. Trading at its current price of $91.11, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 7 of 9 models flag downside risk, projecting a median implied return of -51.3%. Model dispersion is worth noting: Regime Cross targets $151.60 (+66.4%), versus ML-RIV at $12.22 (-86.6%). This +153.0% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About RMBS?

9 of 13 models are currently active for RMBS. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 8 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for RMBS is $44.34 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $29.53 on its own, implying -67.6% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does RMBS Rank in Semiconductors?

Among 71 Semiconductors stocks, RMBS ranks #7 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 9.4/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 9.4 places RMBS in the top tier.

See all Most Undervalued Semiconductors Stocks →

Rambus Inc.'s positioning within the Semiconductors segment means that design win pipeline plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including AI chip demand — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.

Is RMBS a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns RMBS a score of 0/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

9 of 13 models are active for Rambus Inc.. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Rambus Inc. earns a quality score of 9.4/10. This exceptional rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +153.0% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every RMBS valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across RMBS's 9 active models, average confidence is 47%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Rambus Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Semiconductors Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Semiconductors stocks with 13-model coverage

NXPINXP Semiconductors N.V.QOC 9.5TSMTaiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company LimitedQOC 9.2CRUSCirrus Logic, Inc.QOC 9.5MUMicron Technology, Inc.QOC 9.1MPWRMonolithic Power Systems, Inc.QOC 9.5ADIAnalog Devices, Inc.QOC 9.0GFSGLOBALFOUNDRIES Inc.QOC 7.7ASXASE Technology Holding Co., Ltd.QOC 6.7FABCFabric.AI, Inc.QOC 4.3NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0AVGOBroadcom Inc.QOC 9.8

Read investment analysis: NXPI · TSM · CRUS · MU · MPWR · ADI · GFS · ASX · FABC · NVDA · AVGO

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to RMBS?

6 companies across all industries closest to RMBS’s Quality of Company score of 9.4/10.

AMPHAmphastar Pharmaceuticals, Inc.QOC 9.4ACFNAcorn Energy, Inc.QOC 9.4PEGAPegasystems Inc.QOC 9.4CFCF Industries Holdings, Inc.QOC 9.4CLSCelestica Inc.QOC 9.4ISRGIntuitive Surgical, Inc.QOC 9.4

Read investment analysis: AMPH · ACFN · PEGA · CF · CLS · ISRG

Where Does RMBS Sit in CirclFi's Semiconductors Rankings?

RMBS is ranked against every other Semiconductors stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Semiconductors stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Rambus Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Rambus Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Rambus Inc. (RMBS)'s intrinsic value at $44.34 — the median of 9 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $12.22 to $151.60. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $29.53 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 9.4/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is RMBS overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $91.11, 1 of 9 active models suggest RMBS may be undervalued, while 8 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 9 fair value estimates is $44.34, 51.3% below the current price of $91.11 — a consensus view that RMBS is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Rambus Inc.'s business model in Semiconductors.

What does a Quality of Company score of 9.4 mean for RMBS?

Rambus Inc.'s QOC of 9.4/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on RMBS?

CirclFi analyzes RMBS with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 9 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on RMBS?

Of the 9 models currently active on RMBS, Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bullish at $151.60 per share, and ML Residual Income is the most bearish at $12.22. CirclFi's published fair value for RMBS is the median of that range, $44.34, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 314% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is RMBS a value trap in 2026?

Rambus Inc.'s Value Trap score is 0/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 9-model valuation engine, Rambus Inc. (RMBS) has a median fair value of $44.34 — 51.3% below the current price of $91.11 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/RMBS/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this RMBS valuation
  • Financial statements: Rambus Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000917273) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for RMBS as of ; valuations recomputed .

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