MYR Group, Inc. (MYRG) Fair Value 2026

MYRG · Water, Sewer, Pipeline, Comm & Power Line Construction ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.9 /10

32 fundamental signals · 13 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (18/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, MYR Group, Inc. (MYRG) trades at $411.89, approximately 3386% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $11.82. QOC: 6.9/10. Value Trap Risk: 18/100 (SAFE). 13/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
MYRG
Price
$411.89
Quality Score
6.9/10
Value Trap Risk
18/100
Models Active
13/13
Last Updated
Strength: 13 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Valuation Matrix

13 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($411.89)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
High Conviction
$11.82 -97.1%
Earnings Power Value
High Conviction
$42.15 -89.8%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$110.24 -73.2%
First Chicago
Medium Conviction
$138.84 -66.3%

Unlock the Full Matrix

Access 9 additional models including EROIC Spread, Markov DDM, and more.

$1.30 / day

Billed monthly ($39/mo) or annually ($299/yr)

Unlock All 13 Models →

Cancel anytime · No contracts · Instant access

What Is MYR Group, Inc. (MYRG) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, MYR Group, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $156.22, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $411.89. With 12 out of 13 models flagging downside (-62.1% average return), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. Notably, PWERM sees the most upside at +6.0% (fair value: $436.68), while Bayesian DCF is the most conservative at -97.1% ($11.82). The spread between these extremes — +103.1% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions. Among models with highest confidence, EPV, Markov DDM lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About MYRG?

13 of 13 models are currently active for MYRG. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 12 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates MYRG's intrinsic value at $11.82, implying -97.1% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does MYRG Rank in Water, Sewer, Pipeline, Comm & Power Line Construction?

Among 7 Water, Sewer, Pipeline, Comm & Power Line Construction stocks, MYRG ranks #6 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.9/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.9 indicates above-average quality.

Within the Water, Sewer, Pipeline, Comm & Power Line Construction space, MYR Group, Inc. competes in an environment where aftermarket revenue mix often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.

Is MYRG a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns MYRG a score of 18/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

13 of 13 models are active for MYR Group, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, MYR Group, Inc. is rated at 6.9/10. This solid-tier score maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +103.1% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every MYRG valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across MYRG's 13 active models, average confidence is 48%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy MYR Group, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Water, Sewer, Pipeline, Comm & Power Line Construction Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

6 related Water, Sewer, Pipeline, Comm & Power Line Construction stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: DY · PLPC · PRIM · MTZ · ESOA

Frequently Asked Questions About MYR Group, Inc.

What is MYR Group, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, MYR Group, Inc. (MYRG) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $11.82. The Quality of Company score is 6.9/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is MYRG overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $411.89, 1 of 13 active models suggest MYRG may be undervalued, while 12 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits MYR Group, Inc.'s business model in Water, Sewer, Pipeline, Comm & Power Line Construction.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.9 mean for MYRG?

MYR Group, Inc.'s QOC of 6.9/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on MYRG?

CirclFi analyzes MYRG with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 13 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is MYRG a value trap in 2026?

MYR Group, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 18/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

You’ve done the research. Don’t stop at half the picture.

Stop collecting opinions. Let 13 mathematical frameworks give you clarity on MYRG.

Unlock All 13 Fair Values — $39/mo

Cancel anytime · Less than a cup of coffee · Instant access