DaVita Inc. (DVA) Fair Value 2026

DVA · Services-Misc Health & Allied Services, NEC ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.6 /10

32 fundamental signals · 12 models active

Value Trap Risk

(—/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, DaVita Inc. (DVA) trades at $235.53, approximately 16% below CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $280.57. QOC: 7.6/10. 12/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
DVA
Price
$235.53
Quality Score
7.6/10
Value Trap Risk
—/100
Models Active
12/13
Last Updated
Strength: Bayesian DCF suggests +19.1% upside with 67% confidence
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Valuation Matrix

12 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($235.53)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
High Conviction
$280.57 +19.1%
Earnings Power Value
High Conviction
$191.04 -18.9%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$198.62 -15.7%
First Chicago
High Conviction
$142.11 -39.7%

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What Is DaVita Inc. (DVA) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the balance of valuation evidence tilts cautious on DaVita Inc. at its current price of $235.53. The composite intrinsic value is estimated at $199.88 (-15.1% average return), with 7 models flagging overvaluation risk. The most optimistic model, RCMH-DCF, places fair value at $396.30 (+68.3%), while EROIC — the most conservative — estimates $20.85 (-91.1%). This +159.4% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about DaVita Inc.'s intrinsic worth. Among models with highest confidence, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About DVA?

12 of 13 models are currently active for DVA. Of these, 4 models suggest upside while 8 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates DVA's intrinsic value at $280.57, implying +19.1% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does DVA Rank in Services-Misc Health & Allied Services, NEC?

Among 11 Services-Misc Health & Allied Services, NEC stocks, DVA ranks #4 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.6/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.6 indicates above-average quality.

DaVita Inc. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is DVA a Value Trap?

The Value Trap algorithm is not active for DVA. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

12 of 13 models are active for DaVita Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, DaVita Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 7.6/10. This robust score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +159.4% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every DVA valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across DVA's 12 active models, average confidence is 44%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy DaVita Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Services-Misc Health & Allied Services, NEC Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Services-Misc Health & Allied Services, NEC stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: PGNY · SHC · VMD · CCEL · BRTX

Frequently Asked Questions About DaVita Inc.

What is DaVita Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, DaVita Inc. (DVA) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $280.57. The Quality of Company score is 7.6/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is DVA overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $235.53, 4 of 12 active models suggest DVA may be undervalued, while 8 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits DaVita Inc.'s business model in Services-Misc Health & Allied Services, NEC.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.6 mean for DVA?

DaVita Inc.'s QOC of 7.6/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on DVA?

CirclFi analyzes DVA with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 12 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is DVA a value trap in 2026?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm does not have sufficient data for DVA at this time. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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