YETI Holdings, Inc. (YETI) Fair Value 2026

YETI · Leisure ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.6 /10

32 fundamental signals · 10 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (0/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, YETI Holdings, Inc. (YETI) trades at $41.84, versus a $21.28 median fair value across its 10 active models — 49.1% below the current price. QOC: 8.6/10. Value Trap Risk: 0/100 (SAFE). 10/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $18.06.

Key Facts

Ticker
YETI
Price
$41.84
Quality Score
8.6/10
Value Trap Risk
0/100
Models Active
10/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +71.6% upside with 61% confidence
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is YETI Holdings, Inc. (YETI) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, YETI Holdings, Inc. (YETI) appears overvalued as of : the median of 10 independent fair value estimates is $21.28, 49.1% below the current price of $41.84. Estimates range from $12.54 to $71.80. YETI scores 8.6/10 on fundamental quality and 0/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. YETI’s -49.1% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Leisure sector median is -28.3%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy YETI Holdings, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give YETI?

10 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($41.84)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $18.06 -56.8%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $17.44 -58.3%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $24.50 -41.4%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $71.80 +71.6%
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What Is YETI's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 10 independent models · $12.54 to $71.80

CirclFi's 10 active models place YETI Holdings, Inc. (YETI) between $12.54 and $71.80 per share, a spread of 278% of the median. The median of that range — $21.28 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for YETI, against a current price of $41.84.

Low · ML-RIVHigh · First Chicago
$12.54median $21.28$71.80
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelML Residual Income$12.54
Most bullish modelFirst Chicago$71.80
Model agreement2 bullish · 6 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for YETI. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on YETI, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is YETI Holdings, Inc. (YETI) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the balance of valuation evidence tilts cautious on YETI Holdings, Inc. at its current price of $41.84. The median intrinsic value is estimated at $21.28 (-49.1% vs price), with 6 models flagging overvaluation risk. The most optimistic model, First Chicago, places fair value at $71.80 (+71.6%), while ML-RIV — the most conservative — estimates $12.54 (-70.0%). This +141.6% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about YETI Holdings, Inc.'s intrinsic worth. Among models with highest confidence, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About YETI?

10 of 13 models are currently active for YETI. Of these, 3 models suggest upside while 7 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for YETI is $21.28 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $18.06 on its own, implying -56.8% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does YETI Rank in Leisure?

Among 37 Leisure stocks, YETI ranks #3 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.6/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.6 places YETI in the top tier.

YETI Holdings, Inc. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is YETI a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns YETI a score of 0/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

10 of 13 models are active for YETI Holdings, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, YETI Holdings, Inc. is rated at 8.6/10. This strong-tier score demonstrates strong fundamentals across the majority of our quality signals.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +141.6% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every YETI valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across YETI's 10 active models, average confidence is 52%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy YETI Holdings, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Leisure Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

9 related Leisure stocks with 13-model coverage

PLNTPlanet Fitness, Inc.QOC 8.7MATMattel, Inc.QOC 8.4GOLFAcushnet Holdings Corp.QOC 8.9OSWOneSpaWorld Holdings LimitedQOC 8.3GDHGGolden Heaven Group Holdings Ltd.QOC 1.7PRKSUnited Parks & Resorts Inc.QOC 8.0CALYCallaway Golf CompanyQOC 7.5FNKOFunko, Inc.QOC 6.2AIBTAibotics Inc.QOC 3.9

Read investment analysis: PLNT · MAT · GOLF · OSW · GDHG · PRKS · CALY · FNKO · AIBT

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to YETI?

7 companies across all industries closest to YETI’s Quality of Company score of 8.6/10.

ORIOld Republic International CorporationQOC 8.6CHDNChurchill Downs IncorporatedQOC 8.6SOGPSound Group Inc.QOC 8.6UANCVR Partners, LPQOC 8.6EVREvercore Inc.QOC 8.6AXTAAxalta Coating Systems Ltd.QOC 8.6NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: ORI · CHDN · SOGP · UAN · EVR · AXTA · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About YETI Holdings, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is YETI Holdings, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts YETI Holdings, Inc. (YETI)'s intrinsic value at $21.28 — the median of 10 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $12.54 to $71.80. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $18.06 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 8.6/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is YETI overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $41.84, 3 of 10 active models suggest YETI may be undervalued, while 7 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 10 fair value estimates is $21.28, 49.1% below the current price of $41.84 — a consensus view that YETI is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits YETI Holdings, Inc.'s business model in Leisure.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.6 mean for YETI?

YETI Holdings, Inc.'s QOC of 8.6/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on YETI?

CirclFi analyzes YETI with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 10 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on YETI?

Of the 10 models currently active on YETI, First Chicago is the most bullish at $71.80 per share, and ML Residual Income is the most bearish at $12.54. CirclFi's published fair value for YETI is the median of that range, $21.28, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 278% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is YETI a value trap in 2026?

YETI Holdings, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 0/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, YETI Holdings, Inc. (YETI) has a median fair value of $21.28 — 49.1% below the current price of $41.84 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/YETI/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this YETI valuation
  • Financial statements: YETI Holdings, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001670592) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for YETI as of ; valuations recomputed .

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