Organogenesis Holdings Inc. (ORGO) Fair Value 2026

ORGO · Pharmaceutical Preparations ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.5 /10

32 fundamental signals · 12 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (18/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-14, Organogenesis Holdings Inc. (ORGO) trades at $2.34, approximately 484% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $0.40. QOC: 7.5/10. Value Trap Risk: 18/100 (SAFE). 12/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
ORGO
Price
$2.34
Quality Score
7.5/10
Value Trap Risk
18/100
Models Active
12/13
Last Updated
Strength: Earnings Power Value suggests +24.9% upside with 62% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (12/13) may reduce confidence

Valuation Matrix

12 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($2.34)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
High Conviction
$0.40 -82.9%
Earnings Power Value
High Conviction
$2.92 +24.9%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$1.43 -38.7%
First Chicago
Medium Conviction
$2.80 +19.5%

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What Is Organogenesis Holdings Inc. (ORGO) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the balance of valuation evidence tilts cautious on Organogenesis Holdings Inc. at its current price of $2.34. The composite intrinsic value is estimated at $1.92 (-17.8% average return), with 7 models flagging overvaluation risk. Model dispersion is worth noting: Regime Cross targets $4.31 (+84.2%), versus ML-RIV at $0.21 (-91.0%). This +175.2% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About ORGO?

12 of 13 models are currently active for ORGO. Of these, 5 models suggest upside while 7 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates ORGO's intrinsic value at $0.40, implying -82.9% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does ORGO Rank in Pharmaceutical Preparations?

Among 469 Pharmaceutical Preparations stocks, ORGO ranks #48 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.5/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.5 indicates above-average quality.

See all Most Undervalued Pharmaceutical Preparations Stocks →

As a biopharma enterprise, Organogenesis Holdings Inc. operates in a sector where revenue per drug is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating ORGO should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is ORGO a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns ORGO a score of 18/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

12 of 13 models are active for Organogenesis Holdings Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Organogenesis Holdings Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 7.5/10. This respectable score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +175.2% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every ORGO valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across ORGO's 12 active models, average confidence is 34%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Organogenesis Holdings Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Pharmaceutical Preparations Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Pharmaceutical Preparations stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: AMPH · AZN · CPRX · HRMY · NVO

See all Pharmaceutical Preparations stocks ranked →

Frequently Asked Questions About Organogenesis Holdings Inc.

What is Organogenesis Holdings Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Organogenesis Holdings Inc. (ORGO) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $0.40. The Quality of Company score is 7.5/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is ORGO overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $2.34, 5 of 12 active models suggest ORGO may be undervalued, while 7 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Organogenesis Holdings Inc.'s business model in Pharmaceutical Preparations.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.5 mean for ORGO?

Organogenesis Holdings Inc.'s QOC of 7.5/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on ORGO?

CirclFi analyzes ORGO with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 12 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is ORGO a value trap in 2026?

Organogenesis Holdings Inc.'s Value Trap score is 18/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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