Amneal Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (AMRX) Fair Value 2026

AMRX · Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.3 /10

32 fundamental signals · 9 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (12/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Amneal Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (AMRX) trades at $18.01, versus a $6.64 median fair value across its 9 active models — 63.1% below the current price. QOC: 8.3/10. Value Trap Risk: 12/100 (SAFE). 9/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $1.14.

Key Facts

Ticker
AMRX
Price
$18.01
Quality Score
8.3/10
Value Trap Risk
12/100
Models Active
9/13
Last Updated
Strength: Quality Score of 8.3/10 indicates strong fundamentals
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Amneal Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (AMRX) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 9-model valuation engine, Amneal Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (AMRX) appears overvalued as of : the median of 9 independent fair value estimates is $6.64, 63.1% below the current price of $18.01. Estimates range from $1.14 to $23.14. AMRX scores 8.3/10 on fundamental quality and 12/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. AMRX’s -63.1% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic sector median is -1.4%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Amneal Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give AMRX?

9 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($18.01)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $1.14 -93.7%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $6.67 -63.0%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $11.81 -34.5%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $4.13 -77.1%
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What Is AMRX's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 9 independent models · $1.14 to $23.14

CirclFi's 9 active models place Amneal Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (AMRX) between $1.14 and $23.14 per share, a spread of 331% of the median. The median of that range — $6.64 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for AMRX, against a current price of $18.01.

Low · Bayesian DCFHigh · Regime Cross
$1.14median $6.64$23.14
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelBayesian DCF$1.14
Most bullish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$23.14
Model agreement1 bullish · 8 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for AMRX. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on AMRX, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Amneal Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (AMRX) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Amneal Pharmaceuticals, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $6.64. Trading at its current price of $18.01, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 8 of 9 models flag downside risk, projecting a median implied return of -63.1%. The most optimistic model, Regime Cross, places fair value at $23.14 (+28.5%), while Bayesian DCF — the most conservative — estimates $1.14 (-93.7%). This +122.2% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Amneal Pharmaceuticals, Inc.'s intrinsic worth. Among models with highest confidence, Bayesian DCF lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About AMRX?

9 of 13 models are currently active for AMRX. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 8 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for AMRX is $6.64 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $1.14 on its own, implying -93.7% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does AMRX Rank in Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic?

Among 110 Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic stocks, AMRX ranks #17 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.3/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.3 places AMRX in the top tier.

See all Most Undervalued Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic Stocks →

The Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic sector introduces analytical considerations specific to pharmaceutical industry businesses. For Amneal Pharmaceuticals, Inc., metrics like FDA approval probability provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.

Is AMRX a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns AMRX a score of 12/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

9 of 13 models are active for Amneal Pharmaceuticals, Inc.. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Amneal Pharmaceuticals, Inc. scores 8.3 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a strong rating that demonstrates strong fundamentals across the majority of our quality signals. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +122.2% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every AMRX valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across AMRX's 9 active models, average confidence is 49%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Amneal Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic stocks with 13-model coverage

PBHPrestige Consumer Healthcare Inc.QOC 8.3KNSAKiniksa Pharmaceuticals International, plcQOC 8.1SIGASIGA Technologies, Inc.QOC 8.4ORGOOrganogenesis Holdings Inc.QOC 8.0BCRXBioCryst Pharmaceuticals, Inc.QOC 8.4XERSXeris Biopharma Holdings, Inc.QOC 7.9CPIXCumberland Pharmaceuticals Inc.QOC 6.3INMInMed Pharmaceuticals Inc.QOC 5.2KAYSKaya Holdings, Inc.QOC 3.9UTHRUnited Therapeutics CorporationQOC 9.6AMPHAmphastar Pharmaceuticals, Inc.QOC 9.4

Read investment analysis: PBH · KNSA · SIGA · ORGO · BCRX · XERS · CPIX · INM · KAYS · UTHR · AMPH

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to AMRX?

7 companies across all industries closest to AMRX’s Quality of Company score of 8.3/10.

REXREX American Resources CorporationQOC 8.3MALGMicroalliance Group Inc.QOC 8.3LOWLowe's Companies, Inc.QOC 8.3NSCNorfolk Southern CorporationQOC 8.3EQIXEquinix, Inc.QOC 8.3WWWWolverine World Wide, Inc.QOC 8.3NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: REX · MALG · LOW · NSC · EQIX · WWW · NVDA

Where Does AMRX Sit in CirclFi's Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic Rankings?

AMRX is ranked against every other Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Amneal Pharmaceuticals, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Amneal Pharmaceuticals, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Amneal Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (AMRX)'s intrinsic value at $6.64 — the median of 9 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $1.14 to $23.14. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $1.14 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 8.3/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is AMRX overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $18.01, 1 of 9 active models suggest AMRX may be undervalued, while 8 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 9 fair value estimates is $6.64, 63.1% below the current price of $18.01 — a consensus view that AMRX is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Amneal Pharmaceuticals, Inc.'s business model in Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.3 mean for AMRX?

Amneal Pharmaceuticals, Inc.'s QOC of 8.3/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on AMRX?

CirclFi analyzes AMRX with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 9 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on AMRX?

Of the 9 models currently active on AMRX, Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bullish at $23.14 per share, and Bayesian DCF is the most bearish at $1.14. CirclFi's published fair value for AMRX is the median of that range, $6.64, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 331% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is AMRX a value trap in 2026?

Amneal Pharmaceuticals, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 12/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 9-model valuation engine, Amneal Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (AMRX) has a median fair value of $6.64 — 63.1% below the current price of $18.01 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/AMRX/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this AMRX valuation
  • Financial statements: Amneal Pharmaceuticals, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001723128) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for AMRX as of ; valuations recomputed .

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