Zevra Therapeutics, Inc. (ZVRA) Fair Value 2026

ZVRA · Pharmaceutical Preparations ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.6 /10

32 fundamental signals · 13 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (36/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-14, Zevra Therapeutics, Inc. (ZVRA) trades at $13.06, approximately 58% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $8.27. QOC: 6.6/10. Value Trap Risk: 36/100 (LOW). 13/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
ZVRA
Price
$13.06
Quality Score
6.6/10
Value Trap Risk
36/100
Models Active
13/13
Last Updated
Strength: Earnings Power Value suggests +110.8% upside with 42% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (13/13) may reduce confidence

Valuation Matrix

13 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($13.06)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
Medium Conviction
$8.27 -36.7%
Earnings Power Value
Medium Conviction
$27.54 +110.8%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$13.89 +6.3%
First Chicago
High Conviction
$1.73 -86.8%

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What Is Zevra Therapeutics, Inc. (ZVRA) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Zevra Therapeutics, Inc. presents a highly debated valuation profile at its current price of $13.06. The composite intrinsic value is estimated at $13.64 (+4.4% average upside), masking a wide model spread between the 7 bullish models and 6 bearish models. Model dispersion is worth noting: Regime Cross targets $32.83 (+151.4%), versus First Chicago at $1.73 (-86.8%). This +238.1% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About ZVRA?

13 of 13 models are currently active for ZVRA. Of these, 7 models suggest upside while 6 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates ZVRA's intrinsic value at $8.27, implying -36.7% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does ZVRA Rank in Pharmaceutical Preparations?

Among 469 Pharmaceutical Preparations stocks, ZVRA ranks #83 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.6/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.6 indicates above-average quality.

See all Most Undervalued Pharmaceutical Preparations Stocks →

As a biopharma enterprise, Zevra Therapeutics, Inc. operates in a sector where biosimilar competition timeline is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating ZVRA should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is ZVRA a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns ZVRA a score of 36/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

13 of 13 models are active for Zevra Therapeutics, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Zevra Therapeutics, Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 6.6/10. This respectable score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +238.1% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every ZVRA valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across ZVRA's 13 active models, average confidence is 36%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Zevra Therapeutics, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Pharmaceutical Preparations Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Pharmaceutical Preparations stocks with 13-model coverage

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Frequently Asked Questions About Zevra Therapeutics, Inc.

What is Zevra Therapeutics, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Zevra Therapeutics, Inc. (ZVRA) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $8.27. The Quality of Company score is 6.6/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is ZVRA overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $13.06, 7 of 13 active models suggest ZVRA may be undervalued, while 6 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Zevra Therapeutics, Inc.'s business model in Pharmaceutical Preparations.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.6 mean for ZVRA?

Zevra Therapeutics, Inc.'s QOC of 6.6/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on ZVRA?

CirclFi analyzes ZVRA with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 13 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is ZVRA a value trap in 2026?

Zevra Therapeutics, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 36/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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