What Is Church & Dwight Company, Inc. (CHD) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Church & Dwight Company, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $70.79, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $97.15. With 9 out of 12 models flagging downside (-27.1% average return), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. The most optimistic model, First Chicago, places fair value at $97.47 (+0.3%), while EROIC — the most conservative — estimates $27.54 (-71.6%). This +72.0% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Church & Dwight Company, Inc.'s intrinsic worth. Among models with highest confidence, Bayesian DCF, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.
What Do the Models Say About CHD?
12 of 13 models are currently active for CHD. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 11 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates CHD's intrinsic value at $92.10, implying -5.2% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does CHD Rank in Soap, Detergents, Cleang Preparations, Perfumes, Cosmetics?
Among 7 Soap, Detergents, Cleang Preparations, Perfumes, Cosmetics stocks, CHD ranks #2 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 9.3/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 9.3 places CHD in the top tier.
Church & Dwight Company, Inc. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.
Is CHD a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns CHD a score of 12/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
12 of 13 models are active for Church & Dwight Company, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Church & Dwight Company, Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 9.3/10. This exceptional score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +72.0% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every CHD valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across CHD's 12 active models, average confidence is 57%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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