Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc. (HST) Fair Value 2026

HST · REIT - Hotel & Motel ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.4 /10

32 fundamental signals · 8 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (12/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc. (HST) trades at $22.28, versus a $12.76 median fair value across its 8 active models — 42.7% below the current price. QOC: 8.4/10. Value Trap Risk: 12/100 (SAFE). 8/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
HST
Price
$22.28
Quality Score
8.4/10
Value Trap Risk
12/100
Models Active
8/13
Last Updated
Strength: Quality Score of 8.4/10 indicates strong fundamentals
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc. (HST) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 8-model valuation engine, Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc. (HST) appears overvalued as of : the median of 8 independent fair value estimates is $12.76, 42.7% below the current price of $22.28. Estimates range from $3.23 to $30.24. HST scores 8.4/10 on fundamental quality and 12/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. HST’s -42.7% gap is wider than that market norm. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give HST?

8 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($22.28)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $13.17 -40.9%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $11.90 -46.6%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $12.34 -44.6%
Asset-Based · Medium Conviction
 $3.23 -85.5%
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What Is HST's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 8 independent models · $3.23 to $30.24

CirclFi's 8 active models place Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc. (HST) between $3.23 and $30.24 per share, a spread of 212% of the median. The median of that range — $12.76 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for HST, against a current price of $22.28.

Low · Dynamic NAVHigh · FTNN
$3.23median $12.76$30.24
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelDynamic NAV$3.23
Most bullish modelFTNN Topology$30.24
Model agreement1 bullish · 6 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for HST. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on HST, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc. (HST) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $12.76, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $22.28. With 6 out of 8 models flagging downside (-42.7% vs price), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. Model dispersion is worth noting: FTNN targets $30.24 (+35.7%), versus Dynamic NAV at $3.23 (-85.5%). This +121.2% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About HST?

8 of 13 models are currently active for HST. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 7 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for HST is $12.76 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does HST Rank in REIT - Hotel & Motel?

Among 15 REIT - Hotel & Motel stocks, HST ranks #1 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.4/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.4 places HST in the top tier.

As a real estate investment trust, Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc. operates in a sector where debt-to-EBITDA is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating HST should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is HST a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns HST a score of 12/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

8 of 13 models are active for Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc.. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc. is rated at 8.4/10. This strong-tier score demonstrates strong fundamentals across the majority of our quality signals.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +121.2% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every HST valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across HST's 8 active models, average confidence is 37%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar REIT - Hotel & Motel Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related REIT - Hotel & Motel stocks with 13-model coverage

AHTAshford Hospitality Trust, Inc.QOC 5.4RHPRyman Hospitality Properties, Inc.QOC 8.2IHTInnSuites Hospitality TrustQOC 5.7APLEApple Hospitality REIT, Inc.QOC 8.2SVCService Properties TrustQOC 5.7XHRXenia Hotels & Resorts, Inc.QOC 8.1CLDTChatham Lodging TrustQOC 7.4PKPark Hotels & Resorts Inc.QOC 6.3

Read investment analysis: AHT · RHP · IHT · APLE · SVC · XHR · CLDT · PK

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to HST?

7 companies across all industries closest to HST’s Quality of Company score of 8.4/10.

CXMSprinklr, Inc.QOC 8.4FUNCFirst United CorporationQOC 8.4HNNAHennessy Advisors, Inc.QOC 8.4PHRPhreesia, Inc.QOC 8.4GDGeneral Dynamics CorporationQOC 8.4MPTIM-tron Industries, Inc.QOC 8.4NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: CXM · FUNC · HNNA · PHR · GD · MPTI · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc. (HST)'s intrinsic value at $12.76 — the median of 8 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $3.23 to $30.24. The Quality of Company score is 8.4/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is HST overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $22.28, 1 of 8 active models suggest HST may be undervalued, while 7 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 8 fair value estimates is $12.76, 42.7% below the current price of $22.28 — a consensus view that HST is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc.'s business model in REIT - Hotel & Motel.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.4 mean for HST?

Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc.'s QOC of 8.4/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on HST?

CirclFi analyzes HST with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 8 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on HST?

Of the 8 models currently active on HST, FTNN Topology is the most bullish at $30.24 per share, and Dynamic NAV is the most bearish at $3.23. CirclFi's published fair value for HST is the median of that range, $12.76, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 212% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is HST a value trap in 2026?

Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 12/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 8-model valuation engine, Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc. (HST) has a median fair value of $12.76 — 42.7% below the current price of $22.28 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/HST/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this HST valuation
  • Financial statements: Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001070750) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for HST as of ; valuations recomputed .

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