Park Hotels & Resorts Inc. (PK) Fair Value 2026

PK · REIT - Hotel & Motel ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.3 /10

32 fundamental signals · 8 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (13/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, Park Hotels & Resorts Inc. (PK) trades at $15.83, versus a $9.86 median fair value across its 8 active models — 37.7% below the current price. QOC: 6.3/10. Value Trap Risk: 13/100 (SAFE). 8/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
PK
Price
$15.83
Quality Score
6.3/10
Value Trap Risk
13/100
Models Active
8/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +66.2% upside with 52% confidence
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Park Hotels & Resorts Inc. (PK) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 8-model valuation engine, Park Hotels & Resorts Inc. (PK) appears overvalued as of : the median of 8 independent fair value estimates is $9.86, 37.7% below the current price of $15.83. Estimates range from $1.56 to $26.31. PK scores 6.3/10 on fundamental quality and 13/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. PK’s -37.7% gap is wider than that market norm. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Park Hotels & Resorts Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give PK?

8 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($15.83)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $10.68 -32.5%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $26.31 +66.2%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $2.79 -82.4%
Asset-Based · Medium Conviction
 $1.56 -90.1%
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What Is PK's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 8 independent models · $1.56 to $26.31

CirclFi's 8 active models place Park Hotels & Resorts Inc. (PK) between $1.56 and $26.31 per share, a spread of 251% of the median. The median of that range — $9.86 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for PK, against a current price of $15.83.

Low · Dynamic NAVHigh · First Chicago
$1.56median $9.86$26.31
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelDynamic NAV$1.56
Most bullish modelFirst Chicago$26.31
Model agreement3 bullish · 5 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for PK. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on PK, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Park Hotels & Resorts Inc. (PK) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the balance of valuation evidence tilts cautious on Park Hotels & Resorts Inc. at its current price of $15.83. The median intrinsic value is estimated at $9.86 (-37.7% vs price), with 5 models flagging overvaluation risk. Model dispersion is worth noting: First Chicago targets $26.31 (+66.2%), versus Dynamic NAV at $1.56 (-90.1%). This +156.4% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About PK?

8 of 13 models are currently active for PK. Of these, 3 models suggest upside while 5 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for PK is $9.86 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does PK Rank in REIT - Hotel & Motel?

Among 15 REIT - Hotel & Motel stocks, PK ranks #12 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.3/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.3 indicates above-average quality.

As a real estate investment trust, Park Hotels & Resorts Inc. operates in a sector where weighted average lease term (WALT) is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating PK should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is PK a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns PK a score of 13/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

8 of 13 models are active for Park Hotels & Resorts Inc.. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Park Hotels & Resorts Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 6.3/10. This respectable score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +156.4% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every PK valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across PK's 8 active models, average confidence is 35%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Park Hotels & Resorts Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar REIT - Hotel & Motel Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

10 related REIT - Hotel & Motel stocks with 13-model coverage

BHRBraemar Hotels & Resorts Inc.QOC 6.4SVCService Properties TrustQOC 5.7INNSummit Hotel Properties, Inc.QOC 6.5IHTInnSuites Hospitality TrustQOC 5.7PEBPebblebrook Hotel TrustQOC 7.0AHTAshford Hospitality Trust, Inc.QOC 5.4XHRXenia Hotels & Resorts, Inc.QOC 8.1CLDTChatham Lodging TrustQOC 7.4HSTHost Hotels & Resorts, Inc.QOC 8.4RHPRyman Hospitality Properties, Inc.QOC 8.2

Read investment analysis: BHR · SVC · INN · IHT · PEB · AHT · XHR · CLDT · HST · RHP

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to PK?

7 companies across all industries closest to PK’s Quality of Company score of 6.3/10.

INDIindie Semiconductor, Inc.QOC 6.3CVRChicago Rivet & Machine Co.QOC 6.3CARLCarlsmed, Inc.QOC 6.3GBDCGolub Capital BDC, Inc.QOC 6.3CMCMCheetah Mobile Inc.QOC 6.3SPWHSportsman's Warehouse Holdings, Inc.QOC 6.3NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: INDI · CVR · CARL · GBDC · CMCM · SPWH · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Park Hotels & Resorts Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Park Hotels & Resorts Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Park Hotels & Resorts Inc. (PK)'s intrinsic value at $9.86 — the median of 8 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $1.56 to $26.31. The Quality of Company score is 6.3/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is PK overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $15.83, 3 of 8 active models suggest PK may be undervalued, while 5 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 8 fair value estimates is $9.86, 37.7% below the current price of $15.83 — a consensus view that PK is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Park Hotels & Resorts Inc.'s business model in REIT - Hotel & Motel.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.3 mean for PK?

Park Hotels & Resorts Inc.'s QOC of 6.3/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on PK?

CirclFi analyzes PK with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 8 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on PK?

Of the 8 models currently active on PK, First Chicago is the most bullish at $26.31 per share, and Dynamic NAV is the most bearish at $1.56. CirclFi's published fair value for PK is the median of that range, $9.86, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 251% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is PK a value trap in 2026?

Park Hotels & Resorts Inc.'s Value Trap score is 13/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 8-model valuation engine, Park Hotels & Resorts Inc. (PK) has a median fair value of $9.86 — 37.7% below the current price of $15.83 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/PK/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this PK valuation
  • Financial statements: Park Hotels & Resorts Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001617406) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for PK as of ; valuations recomputed .

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