Park Hotels & Resorts Inc. (PK) Fair Value 2026

PK · Hotels & Motels ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

5.7 /10

32 fundamental signals · 11 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (12/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-15, Park Hotels & Resorts Inc. (PK) trades at $14.55, approximately 451% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $2.64. QOC: 5.7/10. Value Trap Risk: 12/100 (SAFE). 11/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
PK
Price
$14.55
Quality Score
5.7/10
Value Trap Risk
12/100
Models Active
11/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +9.3% upside with 49% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (11/13) may reduce confidence

Is Park Hotels & Resorts Inc. (PK) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, Park Hotels & Resorts Inc. (PK) appears fairly valued as of : the median of 11 independent fair value estimates is $15.90, within 9.3% of the current price of $14.55. Estimates range from $2.64 to $29.92. PK scores 5.7/10 on fundamental quality and 12/100 on value-trap risk.

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Park Hotels & Resorts Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Valuation Matrix

11 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($14.55)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
High Conviction
 $2.64 -81.9%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
 $14.97 +2.9%
First Chicago
Medium Conviction
 $15.90 +9.3%
Dynamic NAV
Medium Conviction
 $2.70 -81.5%

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What Is Park Hotels & Resorts Inc. (PK) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Park Hotels & Resorts Inc. presents a highly debated valuation profile at its current price of $14.55. The composite intrinsic value is estimated at $14.36 (-1.3% average upside), masking a wide model spread between the 6 bullish models and 4 bearish models. Model dispersion is worth noting: FTNN targets $29.92 (+105.6%), versus Bayesian DCF at $2.64 (-81.9%). This +187.5% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About PK?

11 of 13 models are currently active for PK. Of these, 7 models suggest upside while 4 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates PK's intrinsic value at $2.64, implying -81.9% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does PK Rank in Hotels & Motels?

Among 27 Hotels & Motels stocks, PK ranks #20 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 5.7/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 5.7 reflects mixed fundamentals.

Park Hotels & Resorts Inc. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is PK a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns PK a score of 12/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

11 of 13 models are active for Park Hotels & Resorts Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Park Hotels & Resorts Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 5.7/10. This respectable score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +187.5% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every PK valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across PK's 11 active models, average confidence is 37%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Park Hotels & Resorts Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Hotels & Motels Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Hotels & Motels stocks with 13-model coverage

MCRIMonarch Casino & Resort, Inc.QOC 9.6HTHTH World Group LimitedQOC 8.9WHWyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc.QOC 8.6HLTHilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.QOC 8.6BYDBoyd Gaming CorporationQOC 8.4CHHChoice Hotels International, InQOC 8.3RRRRed Rock Resorts, Inc.QOC 8.2GHGGreenTree Hospitality Group LtdQOC 8.1

Read investment analysis: MCRI · HTHT · WH · HLT · BYD

Frequently Asked Questions About Park Hotels & Resorts Inc.

What is Park Hotels & Resorts Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Park Hotels & Resorts Inc. (PK) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $2.64. The Quality of Company score is 5.7/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is PK overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $14.55, 7 of 11 active models suggest PK may be undervalued, while 4 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 11 fair value estimates is $15.90, within 9.3% of the current price of $14.55 — a consensus view that PK is fairly valued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Park Hotels & Resorts Inc.'s business model in Hotels & Motels.

What does a Quality of Company score of 5.7 mean for PK?

Park Hotels & Resorts Inc.'s QOC of 5.7/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on PK?

CirclFi analyzes PK with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 11 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is PK a value trap in 2026?

Park Hotels & Resorts Inc.'s Value Trap score is 12/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, Park Hotels & Resorts Inc. (PK) has a median fair value of $15.90 — within 9.3% of the current price of $14.55 — as of 2026-07-15.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/PK/ · Methodology

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