Chatham Lodging Trust (REIT) (CLDT) Fair Value 2026

CLDT · Real Estate Investment Trusts ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.7 /10

32 fundamental signals · 12 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (12/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-14, Chatham Lodging Trust (REIT) (CLDT) trades at $13.26, approximately 99% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $6.66. QOC: 6.7/10. Value Trap Risk: 12/100 (SAFE). 12/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
CLDT
Price
$13.26
Quality Score
6.7/10
Value Trap Risk
12/100
Models Active
12/13
Last Updated
Strength: Markov DDM suggests +385.9% upside with 48% confidence
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Valuation Matrix

12 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($13.26)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
High Conviction
$6.66 -49.8%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$11.02 -16.9%
First Chicago
Medium Conviction
$10.64 -19.7%
Markov DDM
Medium Conviction
$64.44 +385.9%

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What Is Chatham Lodging Trust (REIT) (CLDT) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the balance of valuation evidence tilts cautious on Chatham Lodging Trust (REIT) at its current price of $13.26. The composite intrinsic value is estimated at $14.73 (+11.1% average return), with 7 models flagging overvaluation risk. Notably, Markov DDM sees the most upside at +385.9% (fair value: $64.44), while EROIC is the most conservative at -72.9% ($3.59). The spread between these extremes — +458.8% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About CLDT?

12 of 13 models are currently active for CLDT. Of these, 5 models suggest upside while 7 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates CLDT's intrinsic value at $6.66, implying -49.8% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does CLDT Rank in Real Estate Investment Trusts?

Among 190 Real Estate Investment Trusts stocks, CLDT ranks #98 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.7/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.7 indicates above-average quality.

See all Most Undervalued Real Estate Investment Trusts Stocks →

Within the Real Estate Investment Trusts space, Chatham Lodging Trust (REIT) competes in an environment where funds from operations (FFO) often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.

Is CLDT a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns CLDT a score of 12/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

12 of 13 models are active for Chatham Lodging Trust (REIT). Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Chatham Lodging Trust (REIT) is rated at 6.7/10. This solid-tier score maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +458.8% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every CLDT valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across CLDT's 12 active models, average confidence is 38%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Chatham Lodging Trust (REIT) Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Real Estate Investment Trusts Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Real Estate Investment Trusts stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: CUBE · EGP · SELF · APLE · EPRT

See all Real Estate Investment Trusts stocks ranked →

Frequently Asked Questions About Chatham Lodging Trust (REIT)

What is Chatham Lodging Trust (REIT)'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Chatham Lodging Trust (REIT) (CLDT) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $6.66. The Quality of Company score is 6.7/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is CLDT overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $13.26, 5 of 12 active models suggest CLDT may be undervalued, while 7 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Chatham Lodging Trust (REIT)'s business model in Real Estate Investment Trusts.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.7 mean for CLDT?

Chatham Lodging Trust (REIT)'s QOC of 6.7/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on CLDT?

CirclFi analyzes CLDT with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 12 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is CLDT a value trap in 2026?

Chatham Lodging Trust (REIT)'s Value Trap score is 12/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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