Pebblebrook Hotel Trust (PEB) Fair Value 2026

PEB · Real Estate Investment Trusts ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.1 /10

32 fundamental signals · 12 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (12/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-15, Pebblebrook Hotel Trust (PEB) trades at $18.83, approximately 83% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $10.31. QOC: 6.1/10. Value Trap Risk: 12/100 (SAFE). 12/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
PEB
Price
$18.83
Quality Score
6.1/10
Value Trap Risk
12/100
Models Active
12/13
Last Updated
Strength: 12 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Pebblebrook Hotel Trust (PEB) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 12-model valuation engine, Pebblebrook Hotel Trust (PEB) appears overvalued as of : the median of 12 independent fair value estimates is $10.90, 42.1% below the current price of $18.83. Estimates range from $1.46 to $22.49. PEB scores 6.1/10 on fundamental quality and 12/100 on value-trap risk.

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Pebblebrook Hotel Trust Stock in 2026? →

Valuation Matrix

12 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($18.83)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
High Conviction
$10.31 -45.2%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$11.49 -39.0%
First Chicago
Medium Conviction
$9.84 -47.7%
Markov DDM
Medium Conviction
$1.46 -92.2%

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What Is Pebblebrook Hotel Trust (PEB) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Pebblebrook Hotel Trust's intrinsic value is estimated at $11.17, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $18.83. With 10 out of 12 models flagging downside (-40.7% average return), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. Model dispersion is worth noting: PWERM targets $22.49 (+19.5%), versus Markov DDM at $1.46 (-92.2%). This +111.7% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About PEB?

12 of 13 models are currently active for PEB. Of these, 2 models suggest upside while 10 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates PEB's intrinsic value at $10.31, implying -45.2% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does PEB Rank in Real Estate Investment Trusts?

Among 182 Real Estate Investment Trusts stocks, PEB ranks #129 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.1/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.1 indicates above-average quality.

See all Most Undervalued Real Estate Investment Trusts Stocks →

As a real estate investment trust, Pebblebrook Hotel Trust operates in a sector where capitalization rate (cap rate) is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating PEB should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is PEB a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns PEB a score of 12/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

12 of 13 models are active for Pebblebrook Hotel Trust. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Pebblebrook Hotel Trust is rated at 6.1/10. This solid-tier score maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +111.7% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every PEB valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across PEB's 12 active models, average confidence is 35%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Pebblebrook Hotel Trust Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Real Estate Investment Trusts Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Real Estate Investment Trusts stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: CUBE · EGP · SELF · EPRT · HHH

See all Real Estate Investment Trusts stocks ranked →

Frequently Asked Questions About Pebblebrook Hotel Trust

What is Pebblebrook Hotel Trust's intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Pebblebrook Hotel Trust (PEB) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $10.31. The Quality of Company score is 6.1/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is PEB overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $18.83, 2 of 12 active models suggest PEB may be undervalued, while 10 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 12 fair value estimates is $10.90, 42.1% below the current price of $18.83 — a consensus view that PEB is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Pebblebrook Hotel Trust's business model in Real Estate Investment Trusts.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.1 mean for PEB?

Pebblebrook Hotel Trust's QOC of 6.1/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on PEB?

CirclFi analyzes PEB with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 12 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is PEB a value trap in 2026?

Pebblebrook Hotel Trust's Value Trap score is 12/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 12-model valuation engine, Pebblebrook Hotel Trust (PEB) has a median fair value of $10.90 — 42.1% below the current price of $18.83 — as of 2026-07-15.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/PEB/ · Methodology

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