Parsons Corporation (PSN) Fair Value 2026

PSN · Information Technology Services ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.4 /10

32 fundamental signals · 12 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (23/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-10-07, Parsons Corporation (PSN) trades at $42.10, versus a $41.82 median fair value across its 12 active models — 0.7% below the current price. QOC: 8.4/10. Value Trap Risk: 23/100 (SAFE). 12/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $91.64.

Key Facts

Ticker
PSN
Price
$42.10
Quality Score
8.4/10
Value Trap Risk
23/100
Models Active
12/13
Last Updated
Strength: Bayesian DCF suggests +117.7% upside with 67% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (12/13) may reduce confidence

Is Parsons Corporation (PSN) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 12-model valuation engine, Parsons Corporation (PSN) appears fairly valued as of : the median of 12 independent fair value estimates is $41.82, essentially in line with the current price of $42.10. Estimates range from $13.41 to $91.64. PSN scores 8.4/10 on fundamental quality and 23/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -20.1% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,777 rated companies as of 2026-10-07. PSN’s -0.7% gap is narrower than that market norm, and the Information Technology Services sector median is +5.3%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Parsons Corporation Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give PSN?

12 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($42.10)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $91.64 +117.7%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $16.15 -61.7%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $43.31 +2.9%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $67.08 +59.3%
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What Is PSN's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 12 independent models · $13.41 to $91.64

CirclFi's 12 active models place Parsons Corporation (PSN) between $13.41 and $91.64 per share, a spread of 187% of the median. The median of that range — $41.82 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for PSN, against a current price of $42.10.

Low · ML-RIVHigh · Bayesian DCF
$13.41median $41.82$91.64
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelML Residual Income$13.41
Most bullish modelBayesian DCF$91.64
Model agreement4 bullish · 5 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for PSN. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on PSN, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Parsons Corporation (PSN) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Parsons Corporation's intrinsic value is estimated at $41.82, presenting a divided outlook at the current price of $42.10. With a median implied return of -0.7% across a split 4–5 (bull–bear) consensus, the model spread of +185.8% underscores analytical uncertainty. Notably, Bayesian DCF sees the most upside at +117.7% (fair value: $91.64), while ML-RIV is the most conservative at -68.1% ($13.41). The spread between these extremes — +185.8% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions. Among models with highest confidence, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About PSN?

12 of 13 models are currently active for PSN. Of these, 6 models suggest upside while 6 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for PSN is $41.82 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $91.64 on its own, implying +117.7% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does PSN Rank in Information Technology Services?

Among 87 Information Technology Services stocks, PSN ranks #14 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.4/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.4 places PSN in the top tier.

See all Most Undervalued Information Technology Services Stocks →

Within the Information Technology Services space, Parsons Corporation competes in an environment where R&D intensity often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.

Is PSN a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns PSN a score of 23/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

12 of 13 models are active for Parsons Corporation. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Parsons Corporation's fundamental quality profile registers 8.4/10. This robust score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +185.8% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every PSN valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across PSN's 12 active models, average confidence is 48%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Parsons Corporation Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Information Technology Services Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Information Technology Services stocks with 13-model coverage

GIBCGI Inc.QOC 8.5GDYNGrid Dynamics Holdings, Inc.QOC 8.4IBMInternational Business Machines CorporationQOC 8.6SAICScience Applications International CorporationQOC 8.3CTSHCognizant Technology Solutions CorporationQOC 8.8WITWipro LimitedQOC 8.3EFOREverforth, Inc.QOC 7.1ZONECleanCore Solutions, Inc.QOC 5.6GTCHGBT Technologies Inc.QOC 3.5INODInnodata Inc.QOC 9.3ITGartner, Inc.QOC 9.1

Read investment analysis: GIB · GDYN · IBM · SAIC · CTSH · WIT · EFOR · ZONE · GTCH · INOD · IT

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to PSN?

7 companies across all industries closest to PSN’s Quality of Company score of 8.4/10.

HSTHost Hotels & Resorts, Inc.QOC 8.4MPTIM-tron Industries, Inc.QOC 8.4AMPYAmplify Energy Corp.QOC 8.4FUNCFirst United CorporationQOC 8.4PHRPhreesia, Inc.QOC 8.4HOURHour Loop, Inc.QOC 8.4NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: HST · MPTI · AMPY · FUNC · PHR · HOUR · NVDA

Where Does PSN Sit in CirclFi's Information Technology Services Rankings?

PSN is ranked against every other Information Technology Services stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Information Technology Services stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Parsons Corporation’s Valuation?

What is Parsons Corporation's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Parsons Corporation (PSN)'s intrinsic value at $41.82 — the median of 12 independent model estimates as of 2026-10-07, ranging from $13.41 to $91.64. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $91.64 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 8.4/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is PSN overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $42.10, 6 of 12 active models suggest PSN may be undervalued, while 6 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 12 fair value estimates is $41.82, essentially in line with the current price of $42.10 — a consensus view that PSN is fairly valued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Parsons Corporation's business model in Information Technology Services.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.4 mean for PSN?

Parsons Corporation's QOC of 8.4/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on PSN?

CirclFi analyzes PSN with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 12 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on PSN?

Of the 12 models currently active on PSN, Bayesian DCF is the most bullish at $91.64 per share, and ML Residual Income is the most bearish at $13.41. CirclFi's published fair value for PSN is the median of that range, $41.82, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 187% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is PSN a value trap in 2026?

Parsons Corporation's Value Trap score is 23/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 12-model valuation engine, Parsons Corporation (PSN) has a median fair value of $41.82 — essentially in line with the current price of $42.10 — as of 2026-10-07.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/PSN/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this PSN valuation
  • Financial statements: Parsons Corporation 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000275880) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for PSN as of ; valuations recomputed .

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