Jack Henry & Associates, Inc. (JKHY) Fair Value 2026

JKHY · Information Technology Services ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

9.0 /10

32 fundamental signals · 10 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (6/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Jack Henry & Associates, Inc. (JKHY) trades at $169.64, versus a $95.51 median fair value across its 10 active models — 43.7% below the current price. QOC: 9.0/10. Value Trap Risk: 6/100 (SAFE). 10/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $162.82.

Key Facts

Ticker
JKHY
Price
$169.64
Quality Score
9.0/10
Value Trap Risk
6/100
Models Active
10/13
Last Updated
Strength: Quality Score of 9.0/10 indicates strong fundamentals
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Jack Henry & Associates, Inc. (JKHY) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, Jack Henry & Associates, Inc. (JKHY) appears overvalued as of : the median of 10 independent fair value estimates is $95.51, 43.7% below the current price of $169.64. Estimates range from $55.45 to $163.82. JKHY scores 9.0/10 on fundamental quality and 6/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. JKHY’s -43.7% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Information Technology Services sector median is +4.0%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Jack Henry & Associates, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give JKHY?

10 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($169.64)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $162.82 -4.0%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $76.99 -54.6%
Ensemble · Medium Conviction
 $105.13 -38.0%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $57.91 -65.9%
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What Is JKHY's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 10 independent models · $55.45 to $163.82

CirclFi's 10 active models place Jack Henry & Associates, Inc. (JKHY) between $55.45 and $163.82 per share, a spread of 113% of the median. The median of that range — $95.51 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for JKHY, against a current price of $169.64.

Low · Markov DDMHigh · ML-RIV
$55.45median $95.51$163.82
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelMarkov DDM$55.45
Most bullish modelML Residual Income$163.82
Model agreement0 bullish · 8 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for JKHY. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on JKHY, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Jack Henry & Associates, Inc. (JKHY) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Jack Henry & Associates, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $95.51. Trading at its current price of $169.64, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 8 of 10 models flag downside risk, projecting a median implied return of -43.7%. Notably, ML-RIV sees the most upside at -3.4% (fair value: $163.82), while Markov DDM is the most conservative at -67.3% ($55.45). The spread between these extremes — +63.9% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions. Among models with highest confidence, Bayesian DCF, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About JKHY?

10 of 13 models are currently active for JKHY. All 10 active models suggest the stock trades above fair value. Taken together, their median fair value for JKHY is $95.51 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $162.82 on its own, implying -4.0% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does JKHY Rank in Information Technology Services?

Among 83 Information Technology Services stocks, JKHY ranks #5 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 9.0/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 9.0 places JKHY in the top tier.

See all Most Undervalued Information Technology Services Stocks →

The Information Technology Services sector introduces analytical considerations specific to software business businesses. For Jack Henry & Associates, Inc., metrics like R&D intensity provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.

Is JKHY a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns JKHY a score of 6/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

10 of 13 models are active for Jack Henry & Associates, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Jack Henry & Associates, Inc. scores 9.0 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a strong rating that demonstrates strong fundamentals across the majority of our quality signals. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +63.9% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every JKHY valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across JKHY's 10 active models, average confidence is 55%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Jack Henry & Associates, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Information Technology Services Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

10 related Information Technology Services stocks with 13-model coverage

IBEXIBEX LimitedQOC 9.0GGenpact LimitedQOC 9.0EXLSExlService Holdings, Inc.QOC 9.1BRBroadridge Financial Solutions, Inc.QOC 8.9ITGartner, Inc.QOC 9.1LDOSLeidos Holdings, Inc.QOC 8.9JFU9F Inc.QOC 8.0BBAIBigBear.ai Holdings, Inc.QOC 6.1ARBBARB IOT Group LimitedQOC 4.7INODInnodata Inc.QOC 9.3

Read investment analysis: IBEX · G · EXLS · BR · IT · LDOS · JFU · BBAI · ARBB · INOD

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to JKHY?

6 companies across all industries closest to JKHY’s Quality of Company score of 9.0/10.

IBKRInteractive Brokers Group, Inc.QOC 9.0GTESGates Industrial Corporation Ltd.QOC 9.0CRHCRH plcQOC 9.0QNSTQuinStreet, Inc.QOC 9.0GASSStealthGas Inc.QOC 9.0NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: IBKR · GTES · CRH · QNST · GASS · NVDA

Where Does JKHY Sit in CirclFi's Information Technology Services Rankings?

JKHY is ranked against every other Information Technology Services stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Information Technology Services stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Jack Henry & Associates, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Jack Henry & Associates, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Jack Henry & Associates, Inc. (JKHY)'s intrinsic value at $95.51 — the median of 10 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $55.45 to $163.82. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $162.82 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 9.0/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is JKHY overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $169.64, 0 of 10 active models suggest JKHY may be undervalued, while 10 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 10 fair value estimates is $95.51, 43.7% below the current price of $169.64 — a consensus view that JKHY is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Jack Henry & Associates, Inc.'s business model in Information Technology Services.

What does a Quality of Company score of 9.0 mean for JKHY?

Jack Henry & Associates, Inc.'s QOC of 9.0/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on JKHY?

CirclFi analyzes JKHY with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 10 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on JKHY?

Of the 10 models currently active on JKHY, ML Residual Income is the most bullish at $163.82 per share, and Markov DDM is the most bearish at $55.45. CirclFi's published fair value for JKHY is the median of that range, $95.51, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 113% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is JKHY a value trap in 2026?

Jack Henry & Associates, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 6/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, Jack Henry & Associates, Inc. (JKHY) has a median fair value of $95.51 — 43.7% below the current price of $169.64 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/JKHY/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this JKHY valuation
  • Financial statements: Jack Henry & Associates, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000779152) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for JKHY as of ; valuations recomputed .

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