Science Applications International Corporation (SAIC) Fair Value 2026

SAIC · Information Technology Services ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.3 /10

32 fundamental signals · 11 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (5/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Science Applications International Corporation (SAIC) trades at $128.96, versus a $176.47 median fair value across its 11 active models — 36.8% above the current price. QOC: 8.3/10. Value Trap Risk: 5/100 (SAFE). 11/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $391.70.

Key Facts

Ticker
SAIC
Price
$128.96
Quality Score
8.3/10
Value Trap Risk
5/100
Models Active
11/13
Last Updated
Strength: Bayesian DCF suggests +203.7% upside with 75% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (11/13) may reduce confidence

Is Science Applications International Corporation (SAIC) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, Science Applications International Corporation (SAIC) appears undervalued as of : the median of 11 independent fair value estimates is $176.47, 36.8% above the current price of $128.96. Estimates range from $36.92 to $391.70. SAIC scores 8.3/10 on fundamental quality and 5/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. SAIC’s +36.8% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Information Technology Services sector median is +4.0%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Science Applications International Corporation Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give SAIC?

11 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($128.96)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $391.70 +203.7%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $116.59 -9.6%
Ensemble · Medium Conviction
 $176.47 +36.8%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $63.44 -50.8%
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What Is SAIC's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 11 independent models · $36.92 to $391.70

CirclFi's 11 active models place Science Applications International Corporation (SAIC) between $36.92 and $391.70 per share, a spread of 201% of the median. The median of that range — $176.47 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for SAIC, against a current price of $128.96.

Low · Sentiment SOTPHigh · Bayesian DCF
$36.92median $176.47$391.70
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelSentiment SOTP$36.92
Most bullish modelBayesian DCF$391.70
Model agreement7 bullish · 4 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for SAIC. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on SAIC, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Science Applications International Corporation (SAIC) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, our multi-model framework produces a cautiously optimistic read on Science Applications International Corporation at $128.96. With an estimated intrinsic value of $176.47 and 7 of 11 models pointing higher, the median implied return is +36.8%. The most optimistic model, Bayesian DCF, places fair value at $391.70 (+203.7%), while Sentiment SOTP — the most conservative — estimates $36.92 (-71.4%). This +275.1% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Science Applications International Corporation's intrinsic worth. Among models with highest confidence, Bayesian DCF, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About SAIC?

11 of 13 models are currently active for SAIC. Of these, 7 models suggest upside while 4 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for SAIC is $176.47 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $391.70 on its own, implying +203.7% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does SAIC Rank in Information Technology Services?

Among 83 Information Technology Services stocks, SAIC ranks #16 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.3/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.3 places SAIC in the top tier.

See all Most Undervalued Information Technology Services Stocks →

Science Applications International Corporation's positioning within the Information Technology Services segment means that net revenue retention (NRR) plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including total addressable market (TAM) expansion — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.

Is SAIC a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns SAIC a score of 5/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

11 of 13 models are active for Science Applications International Corporation. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Science Applications International Corporation earns a quality score of 8.3/10. This robust rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +275.1% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every SAIC valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across SAIC's 11 active models, average confidence is 55%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Science Applications International Corporation Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Information Technology Services Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Information Technology Services stocks with 13-model coverage

GDYNGrid Dynamics Holdings, Inc.QOC 8.4WITWipro LimitedQOC 8.3PSNParsons CorporationQOC 8.4TSSITSS, Inc.QOC 8.3GIBCGI Inc.QOC 8.5EPAMEPAM Systems, Inc.QOC 8.2CSPICSP Inc.QOC 7.0KEELKeel Infrastructure Corp.QOC 5.5MGRTMega Fortune Company LimitedQOC 2.9INODInnodata Inc.QOC 9.3ITGartner, Inc.QOC 9.1

Read investment analysis: GDYN · WIT · PSN · TSSI · GIB · EPAM · CSPI · KEEL · MGRT · INOD · IT

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to SAIC?

6 companies across all industries closest to SAIC’s Quality of Company score of 8.3/10.

PNRGPrimeEnergy Resources CorporationQOC 8.3MMSMaximus, Inc.QOC 8.3BFAMBright Horizons Family Solutions Inc.QOC 8.3JLLJones Lang LaSalle IncorporatedQOC 8.3RNGRRanger Energy Services, Inc.QOC 8.3NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: PNRG · MMS · BFAM · JLL · RNGR · NVDA

Where Does SAIC Sit in CirclFi's Information Technology Services Rankings?

SAIC is ranked against every other Information Technology Services stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Information Technology Services stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Science Applications International Corporation’s Valuation?

What is Science Applications International Corporation's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Science Applications International Corporation (SAIC)'s intrinsic value at $176.47 — the median of 11 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $36.92 to $391.70. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $391.70 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 8.3/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is SAIC overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $128.96, 7 of 11 active models suggest SAIC may be undervalued, while 4 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 11 fair value estimates is $176.47, 36.8% above the current price of $128.96 — a consensus view that SAIC is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Science Applications International Corporation's business model in Information Technology Services.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.3 mean for SAIC?

Science Applications International Corporation's QOC of 8.3/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on SAIC?

CirclFi analyzes SAIC with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 11 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on SAIC?

Of the 11 models currently active on SAIC, Bayesian DCF is the most bullish at $391.70 per share, and Sentiment SOTP is the most bearish at $36.92. CirclFi's published fair value for SAIC is the median of that range, $176.47, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 201% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is SAIC a value trap in 2026?

Science Applications International Corporation's Value Trap score is 5/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, Science Applications International Corporation (SAIC) has a median fair value of $176.47 — 36.8% above the current price of $128.96 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/SAIC/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this SAIC valuation

Market data for SAIC as of ; valuations recomputed .

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