ITT Inc. (ITT) Fair Value 2026

ITT · Specialty Industrial Machinery ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

9.3 /10

32 fundamental signals · 11 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (6/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, ITT Inc. (ITT) trades at $207.95, versus a $61.22 median fair value across its 11 active models — 70.6% below the current price. QOC: 9.3/10. Value Trap Risk: 6/100 (SAFE). 11/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $61.22.

Key Facts

Ticker
ITT
Price
$207.95
Quality Score
9.3/10
Value Trap Risk
6/100
Models Active
11/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +2.8% upside with 67% confidence
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is ITT Inc. (ITT) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, ITT Inc. (ITT) appears overvalued as of : the median of 11 independent fair value estimates is $61.22, 70.6% below the current price of $207.95. Estimates range from $26.27 to $350.16. ITT scores 9.3/10 on fundamental quality and 6/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. ITT’s -70.6% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Specialty Industrial Machinery sector median is -47.2%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy ITT Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give ITT?

11 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($207.95)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $61.22 -70.6%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $26.27 -87.4%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $73.43 -64.7%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $213.74 +2.8%
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What Is ITT's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 11 independent models · $26.27 to $350.16

CirclFi's 11 active models place ITT Inc. (ITT) between $26.27 and $350.16 per share, a spread of 529% of the median. The median of that range — $61.22 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for ITT, against a current price of $207.95.

Low · EPVHigh · Regime Cross
$26.27median $61.22$350.16
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelEarnings Power Value (EPV)$26.27
Most bullish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$350.16
Model agreement1 bullish · 9 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for ITT. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on ITT, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is ITT Inc. (ITT) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, ITT Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $61.22, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $207.95. With 9 out of 11 models flagging downside (-70.6% vs price), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. Notably, Regime Cross sees the most upside at +68.4% (fair value: $350.16), while EPV is the most conservative at -87.4% ($26.27). The spread between these extremes — +155.8% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions. Among models with highest confidence, Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About ITT?

11 of 13 models are currently active for ITT. Of these, 2 models suggest upside while 9 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for ITT is $61.22 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $61.22 on its own, implying -70.6% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does ITT Rank in Specialty Industrial Machinery?

Among 84 Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, ITT ranks #5 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 9.3/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 9.3 places ITT in the top tier.

See all Most Undervalued Specialty Industrial Machinery Stocks →

As a manufacturing company, ITT Inc. operates in a sector where aftermarket revenue mix is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating ITT should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is ITT a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns ITT a score of 6/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

11 of 13 models are active for ITT Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, ITT Inc. is rated at 9.3/10. This elite-tier score ranks among the highest-quality businesses in our coverage universe.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +155.8% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every ITT valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across ITT's 11 active models, average confidence is 58%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy ITT Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Specialty Industrial Machinery Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

10 related Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks with 13-model coverage

MWAMueller Water Products, Inc.QOC 9.3XYLXylem Inc.QOC 9.1PHParker-Hannifin CorporationQOC 9.3NDSNNordson CorporationQOC 9.1WTSWatts Water Technologies, Inc.QOC 9.3GGGGraco Inc.QOC 9.1GEVGE Vernova Inc.QOC 8.6SYMSymbotic Inc.QOC 7.3SPPLSimpple Ltd.QOC 4.7EPACEnerpac Tool Group Corp.QOC 9.4

Read investment analysis: MWA · XYL · PH · NDSN · WTS · GGG · GEV · SYM · SPPL · EPAC

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to ITT?

6 companies across all industries closest to ITT’s Quality of Company score of 9.3/10.

DGIIDigi International Inc.QOC 9.3SCCOSouthern Copper CorporationQOC 9.3HWMHowmet Aerospace Inc.QOC 9.3LECOLincoln Electric Holdings, Inc.QOC 9.3STBAS&T Bancorp, Inc.QOC 9.3NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: DGII · SCCO · HWM · LECO · STBA · NVDA

Where Does ITT Sit in CirclFi's Specialty Industrial Machinery Rankings?

ITT is ranked against every other Specialty Industrial Machinery stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About ITT Inc.’s Valuation?

What is ITT Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts ITT Inc. (ITT)'s intrinsic value at $61.22 — the median of 11 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $26.27 to $350.16. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $61.22 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 9.3/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is ITT overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $207.95, 2 of 11 active models suggest ITT may be undervalued, while 9 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 11 fair value estimates is $61.22, 70.6% below the current price of $207.95 — a consensus view that ITT is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits ITT Inc.'s business model in Specialty Industrial Machinery.

What does a Quality of Company score of 9.3 mean for ITT?

ITT Inc.'s QOC of 9.3/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on ITT?

CirclFi analyzes ITT with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 11 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on ITT?

Of the 11 models currently active on ITT, Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bullish at $350.16 per share, and Earnings Power Value (EPV) is the most bearish at $26.27. CirclFi's published fair value for ITT is the median of that range, $61.22, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 529% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is ITT a value trap in 2026?

ITT Inc.'s Value Trap score is 6/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, ITT Inc. (ITT) has a median fair value of $61.22 — 70.6% below the current price of $207.95 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/ITT/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this ITT valuation
  • Financial statements: ITT Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000216228) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for ITT as of ; valuations recomputed .

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