What Is Graco Inc. (GGG) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Graco Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $45.23, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $73.90. With 10 out of 13 models flagging downside (-38.8% average return), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. The most optimistic model, Regime Cross, places fair value at $86.17 (+16.6%), while Dynamic NAV — the most conservative — estimates $13.02 (-82.4%). This +99.0% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Graco Inc.'s intrinsic worth. Among models with highest confidence, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.
What Do the Models Say About GGG?
13 of 13 models are currently active for GGG. Of these, 3 models suggest upside while 10 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates GGG's intrinsic value at $27.69, implying -62.5% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does GGG Rank in Pumps & Pumping Equipment?
Among 6 Pumps & Pumping Equipment stocks, GGG ranks #1 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 9.8/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 9.8 places GGG in the top tier.
Graco Inc. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.
Is GGG a Value Trap?
The Value Trap algorithm is not active for GGG. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
13 of 13 models are active for Graco Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Graco Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 9.8/10. This exceptional score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +99.0% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every GGG valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across GGG's 13 active models, average confidence is 52%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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