AMETEK, Inc. (AME) Fair Value 2026

AME · Specialty Industrial Machinery ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.9 /10

32 fundamental signals · 11 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (12/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, AMETEK, Inc. (AME) trades at $243.67, versus a $112.20 median fair value across its 11 active models — 54.0% below the current price. QOC: 8.9/10. Value Trap Risk: 12/100 (SAFE). 11/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $127.54.

Key Facts

Ticker
AME
Price
$243.67
Quality Score
8.9/10
Value Trap Risk
12/100
Models Active
11/13
Last Updated
Strength: Quality Score of 8.9/10 indicates strong fundamentals
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is AMETEK, Inc. (AME) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, AMETEK, Inc. (AME) appears overvalued as of : the median of 11 independent fair value estimates is $112.20, 54.0% below the current price of $243.67. Estimates range from $41.02 to $258.58. AME scores 8.9/10 on fundamental quality and 12/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. AME’s -54.0% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Specialty Industrial Machinery sector median is -47.2%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy AMETEK, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give AME?

11 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($243.67)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $127.54 -47.7%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $68.10 -72.1%
Ensemble · Medium Conviction
 $112.20 -54.0%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $214.39 -12.0%
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What Is AME's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 11 independent models · $41.02 to $258.58

CirclFi's 11 active models place AMETEK, Inc. (AME) between $41.02 and $258.58 per share, a spread of 194% of the median. The median of that range — $112.20 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for AME, against a current price of $243.67.

Low · Markov DDMHigh · Regime Cross
$41.02median $112.20$258.58
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelMarkov DDM$41.02
Most bullish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$258.58
Model agreement1 bullish · 10 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for AME. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on AME, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is AMETEK, Inc. (AME) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, AMETEK, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $112.20, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $243.67. With 10 out of 11 models flagging downside (-54.0% vs price), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. Notably, Regime Cross sees the most upside at +6.1% (fair value: $258.58), while Markov DDM is the most conservative at -83.2% ($41.02). The spread between these extremes — +89.3% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions. Among models with highest confidence, Bayesian DCF, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About AME?

11 of 13 models are currently active for AME. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 10 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for AME is $112.20 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $127.54 on its own, implying -47.7% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does AME Rank in Specialty Industrial Machinery?

Among 84 Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, AME ranks #12 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.9/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.9 places AME in the top tier.

See all Most Undervalued Specialty Industrial Machinery Stocks →

As a manufacturing company, AMETEK, Inc. operates in a sector where book-to-bill ratio is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating AME should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is AME a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns AME a score of 12/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

11 of 13 models are active for AMETEK, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, AMETEK, Inc. is rated at 8.9/10. This strong-tier score demonstrates strong fundamentals across the majority of our quality signals.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +89.3% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every AME valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across AME's 11 active models, average confidence is 56%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy AMETEK, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Specialty Industrial Machinery Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks with 13-model coverage

GHMGraham CorporationQOC 9.0PNRPentair plcQOC 8.9GTESGates Industrial Corporation Ltd.QOC 9.0FLSFlowserve CorporationQOC 8.9AOSA. O. Smith CorporationQOC 9.0ETNEaton Corporation plcQOC 8.8PSIXPower Solutions International, Inc.QOC 8.2ATSATS CorporationQOC 5.8EROCERock, Inc.QOC 4.0EPACEnerpac Tool Group Corp.QOC 9.4WTSWatts Water Technologies, Inc.QOC 9.3

Read investment analysis: GHM · PNR · GTES · FLS · AOS · ETN · PSIX · ATS · EROC · EPAC · WTS

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to AME?

7 companies across all industries closest to AME’s Quality of Company score of 8.9/10.

XZOExzeo Group, Inc.QOC 8.9UNTYUnity Bancorp, Inc.QOC 8.9ARHSArhaus, Inc.QOC 8.9PENPenumbra, Inc.QOC 8.9KOThe Coca-Cola CompanyQOC 8.9OBTOrange County Bancorp, Inc.QOC 8.9NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: XZO · UNTY · ARHS · PEN · KO · OBT · NVDA

Where Does AME Sit in CirclFi's Specialty Industrial Machinery Rankings?

AME is ranked against every other Specialty Industrial Machinery stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About AMETEK, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is AMETEK, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts AMETEK, Inc. (AME)'s intrinsic value at $112.20 — the median of 11 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $41.02 to $258.58. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $127.54 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 8.9/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is AME overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $243.67, 1 of 11 active models suggest AME may be undervalued, while 10 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 11 fair value estimates is $112.20, 54.0% below the current price of $243.67 — a consensus view that AME is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits AMETEK, Inc.'s business model in Specialty Industrial Machinery.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.9 mean for AME?

AMETEK, Inc.'s QOC of 8.9/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on AME?

CirclFi analyzes AME with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 11 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on AME?

Of the 11 models currently active on AME, Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bullish at $258.58 per share, and Markov DDM is the most bearish at $41.02. CirclFi's published fair value for AME is the median of that range, $112.20, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 194% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is AME a value trap in 2026?

AMETEK, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 12/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, AMETEK, Inc. (AME) has a median fair value of $112.20 — 54.0% below the current price of $243.67 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/AME/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this AME valuation
  • Financial statements: AMETEK, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001037868) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for AME as of ; valuations recomputed .

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