Dynatrace, Inc. (DT) Fair Value 2026

DT · Software - Application ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

9.0 /10

32 fundamental signals · 10 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (0/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Dynatrace, Inc. (DT) trades at $53.43, versus a $26.27 median fair value across its 10 active models — 50.8% below the current price. QOC: 9.0/10. Value Trap Risk: 0/100 (SAFE). 10/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $39.75.

Key Facts

Ticker
DT
Price
$53.43
Quality Score
9.0/10
Value Trap Risk
0/100
Models Active
10/13
Last Updated
Strength: Quality Score of 9.0/10 indicates strong fundamentals
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Dynatrace, Inc. (DT) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, Dynatrace, Inc. (DT) appears overvalued as of : the median of 10 independent fair value estimates is $26.27, 50.8% below the current price of $53.43. Estimates range from $1.66 to $68.83. DT scores 9.0/10 on fundamental quality and 0/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. DT’s -50.8% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Software - Application sector median is -23.4%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Dynatrace, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give DT?

10 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($53.43)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $39.75 -25.6%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $26.60 -50.2%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $25.49 -52.3%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $12.59 -76.4%
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What Is DT's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 10 independent models · $1.66 to $68.83

CirclFi's 10 active models place Dynatrace, Inc. (DT) between $1.66 and $68.83 per share, a spread of 256% of the median. The median of that range — $26.27 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for DT, against a current price of $53.43.

Low · ML-RIVHigh · Regime Cross
$1.66median $26.27$68.83
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelML Residual Income$1.66
Most bullish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$68.83
Model agreement1 bullish · 9 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for DT. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on DT, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Dynatrace, Inc. (DT) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Dynatrace, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $26.27. Trading at its current price of $53.43, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 9 of 10 models flag downside risk, projecting a median implied return of -50.8%. Model dispersion is worth noting: Regime Cross targets $68.83 (+28.8%), versus ML-RIV at $1.66 (-96.9%). This +125.7% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology. Among models with highest confidence, Bayesian DCF lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About DT?

10 of 13 models are currently active for DT. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 9 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for DT is $26.27 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $39.75 on its own, implying -25.6% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does DT Rank in Software - Application?

Among 256 Software - Application stocks, DT ranks #27 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 9.0/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 9.0 places DT in the top tier.

See all Most Undervalued Software - Application Stocks →

Dynatrace, Inc.'s positioning within the Software - Application segment means that annual recurring revenue (ARR) plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including pricing power — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.

Is DT a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns DT a score of 0/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

10 of 13 models are active for Dynatrace, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Dynatrace, Inc. earns a quality score of 9.0/10. This exceptional rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +125.7% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every DT valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across DT's 10 active models, average confidence is 50%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Dynatrace, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Software - Application Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Software - Application stocks with 13-model coverage

KAROKarooooo Ltd.QOC 9.0FICOFair Isaac CorporationQOC 9.0AGYSAgilysys, Inc.QOC 9.0DCBODocebo Inc.QOC 9.0INTUIntuit Inc.QOC 9.0YBYuanbao Inc.QOC 9.0JGAurora Mobile LimitedQOC 7.4VIAVia Transportation, Inc.QOC 6.1BLIVBeLive HoldingsQOC 4.1ADSKAutodesk, Inc.QOC 9.8PTCPTC Inc.QOC 9.8

Read investment analysis: KARO · FICO · AGYS · DCBO · INTU · YB · JG · VIA · BLIV · ADSK · PTC

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to DT?

7 companies across all industries closest to DT’s Quality of Company score of 9.0/10.

FLNGFLEX LNG Ltd.QOC 9.0PATHUiPath, Inc.QOC 9.0BKNGBooking Holdings Inc.QOC 9.0SCHWThe Charles Schwab CorporationQOC 9.0ONCBeOne Medicines AGQOC 9.0SNASnap-on IncorporatedQOC 9.0NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: FLNG · PATH · BKNG · SCHW · ONC · SNA · NVDA

Where Does DT Sit in CirclFi's Software - Application Rankings?

DT is ranked against every other Software - Application stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Software - Application stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Dynatrace, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Dynatrace, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Dynatrace, Inc. (DT)'s intrinsic value at $26.27 — the median of 10 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $1.66 to $68.83. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $39.75 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 9.0/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is DT overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $53.43, 1 of 10 active models suggest DT may be undervalued, while 9 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 10 fair value estimates is $26.27, 50.8% below the current price of $53.43 — a consensus view that DT is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Dynatrace, Inc.'s business model in Software - Application.

What does a Quality of Company score of 9.0 mean for DT?

Dynatrace, Inc.'s QOC of 9.0/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on DT?

CirclFi analyzes DT with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 10 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on DT?

Of the 10 models currently active on DT, Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bullish at $68.83 per share, and ML Residual Income is the most bearish at $1.66. CirclFi's published fair value for DT is the median of that range, $26.27, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 256% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is DT a value trap in 2026?

Dynatrace, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 0/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, Dynatrace, Inc. (DT) has a median fair value of $26.27 — 50.8% below the current price of $53.43 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/DT/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this DT valuation
  • Financial statements: Dynatrace, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001773383) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for DT as of ; valuations recomputed .

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