What Is Ross Stores, Inc. (ROST) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Ross Stores, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $111.31. Trading at its current price of $219.46, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 11 of 13 models flag downside risk, projecting an average implied return of -49.3%. Notably, First Chicago sees the most upside at +11.5% (fair value: $244.75), while Dynamic NAV is the most conservative at -82.2% ($39.13). The spread between these extremes — +93.7% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.
What Do the Models Say About ROST?
13 of 13 models are currently active for ROST. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 12 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates ROST's intrinsic value at $63.17, implying -71.2% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does ROST Rank in Retail-Family Clothing Stores?
Among 8 Retail-Family Clothing Stores stocks, ROST ranks #5 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.7/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.7 places ROST in the top tier.
The Retail-Family Clothing Stores sector introduces analytical considerations specific to retail business businesses. For Ross Stores, Inc., metrics like inventory turnover provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.
Is ROST a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns ROST a score of 6/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
13 of 13 models are active for Ross Stores, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Ross Stores, Inc. scores 8.7 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a strong rating that demonstrates strong fundamentals across the majority of our quality signals. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +93.7% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every ROST valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across ROST's 13 active models, average confidence is 44%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →