What Is TJX Companies, Inc. (The) (TJX) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, TJX Companies, Inc. (The)'s intrinsic value is estimated at $114.47. Trading at its current price of $150.50, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 10 of 13 models flag downside risk, projecting an average implied return of -23.9%. The most optimistic model, Markov DDM, places fair value at $436.77 (+190.2%), while Dynamic NAV — the most conservative — estimates $27.49 (-81.7%). This +272.0% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about TJX Companies, Inc. (The)'s intrinsic worth.
What Do the Models Say About TJX?
13 of 13 models are currently active for TJX. Of these, 3 models suggest upside while 10 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates TJX's intrinsic value at $97.04, implying -35.5% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does TJX Rank in Retail-Family Clothing Stores?
Among 8 Retail-Family Clothing Stores stocks, TJX ranks #2 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 9.7/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 9.7 places TJX in the top tier.
TJX Companies, Inc. (The)'s positioning within the Retail-Family Clothing Stores segment means that store traffic trends plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including private label penetration — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.
Is TJX a Value Trap?
The Value Trap algorithm is not active for TJX. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
13 of 13 models are active for TJX Companies, Inc. (The). Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, TJX Companies, Inc. (The) scores 9.7 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a elite rating that ranks among the highest-quality businesses in our coverage universe. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +272.0% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every TJX valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across TJX's 13 active models, average confidence is 47%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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