Abercrombie & Fitch Co. (ANF) Fair Value 2026

ANF · Apparel Retail ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

9.1 /10

32 fundamental signals · 10 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (7/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Abercrombie & Fitch Co. (ANF) trades at $145.75, versus a $108.27 median fair value across its 10 active models — 25.7% below the current price. QOC: 9.1/10. Value Trap Risk: 7/100 (SAFE). 10/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $57.07.

Key Facts

Ticker
ANF
Price
$145.75
Quality Score
9.1/10
Value Trap Risk
7/100
Models Active
10/13
Last Updated
Strength: Quality Score of 9.1/10 indicates strong fundamentals
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Abercrombie & Fitch Co. (ANF) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, Abercrombie & Fitch Co. (ANF) appears overvalued as of : the median of 10 independent fair value estimates is $108.27, 25.7% below the current price of $145.75. Estimates range from $38.18 to $183.24. ANF scores 9.1/10 on fundamental quality and 7/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. ANF’s -25.7% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Apparel Retail sector median is +4.9%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Abercrombie & Fitch Co. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give ANF?

10 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($145.75)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $57.07 -60.8%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $59.62 -59.1%
Ensemble · Medium Conviction
 $101.86 -30.1%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $72.27 -50.4%
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What Is ANF's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 10 independent models · $38.18 to $183.24

CirclFi's 10 active models place Abercrombie & Fitch Co. (ANF) between $38.18 and $183.24 per share, a spread of 134% of the median. The median of that range — $108.27 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for ANF, against a current price of $145.75.

Low · Markov DDMHigh · Sentiment SOTP
$38.18median $108.27$183.24
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelMarkov DDM$38.18
Most bullish modelSentiment SOTP$183.24
Model agreement2 bullish · 7 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for ANF. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on ANF, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Abercrombie & Fitch Co. (ANF) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the balance of valuation evidence tilts cautious on Abercrombie & Fitch Co. at its current price of $145.75. The median intrinsic value is estimated at $108.27 (-25.7% vs price), with 7 models flagging overvaluation risk. The most optimistic model, Sentiment SOTP, places fair value at $183.24 (+25.7%), while Markov DDM — the most conservative — estimates $38.18 (-73.8%). This +99.5% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Abercrombie & Fitch Co.'s intrinsic worth. Among models with highest confidence, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About ANF?

10 of 13 models are currently active for ANF. Of these, 3 models suggest upside while 7 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for ANF is $108.27 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $57.07 on its own, implying -60.8% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does ANF Rank in Apparel Retail?

Among 34 Apparel Retail stocks, ANF ranks #2 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 9.1/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 9.1 places ANF in the top tier.

As a consumer sector, Abercrombie & Fitch Co. operates in a sector where e-commerce penetration rate is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating ANF should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is ANF a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns ANF a score of 7/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

10 of 13 models are active for Abercrombie & Fitch Co.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Abercrombie & Fitch Co. is rated at 9.1/10. This elite-tier score ranks among the highest-quality businesses in our coverage universe.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +99.5% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every ANF valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across ANF's 10 active models, average confidence is 48%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Abercrombie & Fitch Co. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Apparel Retail Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

9 related Apparel Retail stocks with 13-model coverage

BKEThe Buckle, Inc.QOC 9.2LULUlululemon athletica inc.QOC 9.0FBCDFBC Holding, Inc.QOC 3.3BOOTBoot Barn Holdings, Inc.QOC 9.0LVLULulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings, Inc.QOC 5.1TJXThe TJX Companies, Inc.QOC 8.9JILLJ.Jill, Inc.QOC 7.9ZUMZZumiez Inc.QOC 7.2AKAa.k.a. Brands Holding Corp.QOC 5.9

Read investment analysis: BKE · LULU · FBCD · BOOT · LVLU · TJX · JILL · ZUMZ · AKA

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to ANF?

7 companies across all industries closest to ANF’s Quality of Company score of 9.1/10.

CMRECostamare Inc.QOC 9.1TXRHTexas Roadhouse, Inc.QOC 9.1XYLXylem Inc.QOC 9.1TPLTexas Pacific Land CorporationQOC 9.1UTIUniversal Technical Institute, Inc.QOC 9.1AAgilent Technologies, Inc.QOC 9.1NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: CMRE · TXRH · XYL · TPL · UTI · A · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Abercrombie & Fitch Co.’s Valuation?

What is Abercrombie & Fitch Co.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Abercrombie & Fitch Co. (ANF)'s intrinsic value at $108.27 — the median of 10 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $38.18 to $183.24. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $57.07 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 9.1/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is ANF overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $145.75, 3 of 10 active models suggest ANF may be undervalued, while 7 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 10 fair value estimates is $108.27, 25.7% below the current price of $145.75 — a consensus view that ANF is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Abercrombie & Fitch Co.'s business model in Apparel Retail.

What does a Quality of Company score of 9.1 mean for ANF?

Abercrombie & Fitch Co.'s QOC of 9.1/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on ANF?

CirclFi analyzes ANF with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 10 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on ANF?

Of the 10 models currently active on ANF, Sentiment SOTP is the most bullish at $183.24 per share, and Markov DDM is the most bearish at $38.18. CirclFi's published fair value for ANF is the median of that range, $108.27, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 134% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is ANF a value trap in 2026?

Abercrombie & Fitch Co.'s Value Trap score is 7/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, Abercrombie & Fitch Co. (ANF) has a median fair value of $108.27 — 25.7% below the current price of $145.75 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/ANF/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this ANF valuation
  • Financial statements: Abercrombie & Fitch Co. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001018840) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for ANF as of ; valuations recomputed .

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