J.Jill, Inc. (JILL) Fair Value 2026

JILL · Apparel Retail ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.1 /10

32 fundamental signals · 11 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (37/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-10-07, J.Jill, Inc. (JILL) trades at $24.76, versus a $26.86 median fair value across its 11 active models — 8.5% above the current price. QOC: 8.1/10. Value Trap Risk: 37/100 (LOW). 11/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $7.97.

Key Facts

Ticker
JILL
Price
$24.76
Quality Score
8.1/10
Value Trap Risk
37/100
Models Active
11/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +421.7% upside with 61% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (11/13) may reduce confidence

Is J.Jill, Inc. (JILL) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, J.Jill, Inc. (JILL) appears fairly valued as of : the median of 11 independent fair value estimates is $26.86, within 8.5% of the current price of $24.76. Estimates range from $7.97 to $129.17. JILL scores 8.1/10 on fundamental quality and 37/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -20.1% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,777 rated companies as of 2026-10-07. JILL’s +8.5% gap is narrower than that market norm, and the Apparel Retail sector median is -0.8%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy J.Jill, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give JILL?

11 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($24.76)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $7.97 -67.8%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $26.86 +8.5%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $129.17 +421.7%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $13.80 -44.3%
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What Is JILL's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 11 independent models · $7.97 to $129.17

CirclFi's 11 active models place J.Jill, Inc. (JILL) between $7.97 and $129.17 per share, a spread of 451% of the median. The median of that range — $26.86 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for JILL, against a current price of $24.76.

Low · Bayesian DCFHigh · First Chicago
$7.97median $26.86$129.17
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelBayesian DCF$7.97
Most bullish modelFirst Chicago$129.17
Model agreement6 bullish · 5 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for JILL. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on JILL, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is J.Jill, Inc. (JILL) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, J.Jill, Inc. presents a highly debated valuation profile at its current price of $24.76. The median intrinsic value is estimated at $26.86 (+8.5% median upside), masking a wide model spread between the 6 bullish models and 5 bearish models. Model dispersion is worth noting: First Chicago targets $129.17 (+421.7%), versus Bayesian DCF at $7.97 (-67.8%). This +489.5% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About JILL?

11 of 13 models are currently active for JILL. Of these, 6 models suggest upside while 5 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for JILL is $26.86 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $7.97 on its own, implying -67.8% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does JILL Rank in Apparel Retail?

Among 36 Apparel Retail stocks, JILL ranks #10 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.1/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.1 places JILL in the top tier.

As a consumer-facing company, J.Jill, Inc. operates in a sector where customer lifetime value (CLV) is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating JILL should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is JILL a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns JILL a score of 37/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

11 of 13 models are active for J.Jill, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, J.Jill, Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 8.1/10. This robust score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +489.5% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every JILL valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across JILL's 11 active models, average confidence is 49%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy J.Jill, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Apparel Retail Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

10 related Apparel Retail stocks with 13-model coverage

ROSTRoss Stores, Inc.QOC 8.4VSXYVictorias Secret & Co.QOC 8.0GAPThe Gap, Inc.QOC 8.4SHOEShoe Station Group Inc.QOC 7.9IVDNInnovative Designs, Inc.QOC 8.5AEOAmerican Eagle Outfitters, Inc.QOC 7.9CTRNCiti Trends, Inc.QOC 7.2AKAa.k.a. Brands Holding Corp.QOC 5.9BKEThe Buckle, Inc.QOC 9.1ANFAbercrombie & Fitch Co.QOC 9.1

Read investment analysis: ROST · VSXY · GAP · SHOE · IVDN · AEO · CTRN · AKA · BKE · ANF

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to JILL?

7 companies across all industries closest to JILL’s Quality of Company score of 8.1/10.

APAAPA CorporationQOC 8.1AVNTAvient CorporationQOC 8.1BACBank of America CorporationQOC 8.1WEXWEX Inc.QOC 8.1VOXRVox Royalty Corp.QOC 8.1CAASChina Automotive Systems, Inc.QOC 8.1NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: APA · AVNT · BAC · WEX · VOXR · CAAS · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About J.Jill, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is J.Jill, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts J.Jill, Inc. (JILL)'s intrinsic value at $26.86 — the median of 11 independent model estimates as of 2026-10-07, ranging from $7.97 to $129.17. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $7.97 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 8.1/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is JILL overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $24.76, 6 of 11 active models suggest JILL may be undervalued, while 5 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 11 fair value estimates is $26.86, within 8.5% of the current price of $24.76 — a consensus view that JILL is fairly valued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits J.Jill, Inc.'s business model in Apparel Retail.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.1 mean for JILL?

J.Jill, Inc.'s QOC of 8.1/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on JILL?

CirclFi analyzes JILL with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 11 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on JILL?

Of the 11 models currently active on JILL, First Chicago is the most bullish at $129.17 per share, and Bayesian DCF is the most bearish at $7.97. CirclFi's published fair value for JILL is the median of that range, $26.86, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 451% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is JILL a value trap in 2026?

J.Jill, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 37/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, J.Jill, Inc. (JILL) has a median fair value of $26.86 — within 8.5% of the current price of $24.76 — as of 2026-10-07.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/JILL/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this JILL valuation
  • Financial statements: J.Jill, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001687932) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for JILL as of ; valuations recomputed .

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