Betterware de México, S.A.P.I. de C.V. (BWMX) Fair Value 2026

BWMX · Specialty Retail ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.4 /10

32 fundamental signals · 10 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (24/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, Betterware de México, S.A.P.I. de C.V. (BWMX) trades at $15.77, versus a $19.01 median fair value across its 10 active models — 20.6% above the current price. QOC: 8.4/10. Value Trap Risk: 24/100 (SAFE). 10/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $17.49.

Key Facts

Ticker
BWMX
Price
$15.77
Quality Score
8.4/10
Value Trap Risk
24/100
Models Active
10/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +185.6% upside with 37% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (10/13) may reduce confidence

Is Betterware de México, S.A.P.I. de C.V. (BWMX) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, Betterware de México, S.A.P.I. de C.V. (BWMX) appears undervalued as of : the median of 10 independent fair value estimates is $19.01, 20.6% above the current price of $15.77. Estimates range from $5.64 to $45.05. BWMX scores 8.4/10 on fundamental quality and 24/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. BWMX’s +20.6% gap is narrower than that market norm, and the Specialty Retail sector median is -15.0%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Betterware de México, S.A.P.I. de C.V. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give BWMX?

10 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($15.77)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · Medium Conviction
 $17.49 +10.9%
Intrinsic · Medium Conviction
 $13.96 -11.5%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $20.54 +30.3%
Scenario · Medium Conviction
 $45.05 +185.6%
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What Is BWMX's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 10 independent models · $5.64 to $45.05

CirclFi's 10 active models place Betterware de México, S.A.P.I. de C.V. (BWMX) between $5.64 and $45.05 per share, a spread of 207% of the median. The median of that range — $19.01 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for BWMX, against a current price of $15.77.

Low · EROICHigh · First Chicago
$5.64median $19.01$45.05
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelEROIC Spread$5.64
Most bullish modelFirst Chicago$45.05
Model agreement6 bullish · 4 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for BWMX. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on BWMX, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Betterware de México, S.A.P.I. de C.V. (BWMX) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, our multi-model framework produces a cautiously optimistic read on Betterware de México, S.A.P.I. de C.V. at $15.77. With an estimated intrinsic value of $19.01 and 6 of 10 models pointing higher, the median implied return is +20.6%. The most optimistic model, First Chicago, places fair value at $45.05 (+185.6%), while EROIC — the most conservative — estimates $5.64 (-64.2%). This +249.9% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Betterware de México, S.A.P.I. de C.V.'s intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About BWMX?

10 of 13 models are currently active for BWMX. Of these, 6 models suggest upside while 4 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for BWMX is $19.01 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $17.49 on its own, implying +10.9% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does BWMX Rank in Specialty Retail?

Among 49 Specialty Retail stocks, BWMX ranks #11 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.4/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.4 places BWMX in the top tier.

Betterware de México, S.A.P.I. de C.V.'s positioning within the Specialty Retail segment means that brand equity index plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including consumer spending resilience — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.

Is BWMX a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns BWMX a score of 24/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

10 of 13 models are active for Betterware de México, S.A.P.I. de C.V.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Betterware de México, S.A.P.I. de C.V. earns a quality score of 8.4/10. This robust rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +249.9% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every BWMX valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across BWMX's 10 active models, average confidence is 32%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Betterware de México, S.A.P.I. de C.V. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Specialty Retail Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Specialty Retail stocks with 13-model coverage

DKSDICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc.QOC 8.4TSCOTractor Supply CompanyQOC 8.3BBWBuild-A-Bear Workshop, Inc.QOC 8.5BBWIBath & Body Works, Inc.QOC 8.1ASOAcademy Sports and Outdoors, Inc.QOC 8.5BBYBest Buy Co., Inc.QOC 8.1TLFTandy Leather Factory, Inc.QOC 7.1FLWS1-800-FLOWERS.COM, Inc.QOC 5.7ABLVAble View Global Inc.QOC 2.7WSMWilliams-Sonoma, Inc.QOC 9.3ARHSArhaus, Inc.QOC 8.9

Read investment analysis: DKS · TSCO · BBW · BBWI · ASO · BBY · TLF · FLWS · ABLV · WSM · ARHS

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to BWMX?

7 companies across all industries closest to BWMX’s Quality of Company score of 8.4/10.

CLColgate-Palmolive CompanyQOC 8.4OPFIOppFi Inc.QOC 8.4VABKVirginia National Bankshares CorporationQOC 8.4CHDChurch & Dwight Co., Inc.QOC 8.4AMGNAmgen Inc.QOC 8.4GRVYGravity Co., Ltd.QOC 8.4NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: CL · OPFI · VABK · CHD · AMGN · GRVY · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Betterware de México, S.A.P.I. de C.V.’s Valuation?

What is Betterware de México, S.A.P.I. de C.V.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Betterware de México, S.A.P.I. de C.V. (BWMX)'s intrinsic value at $19.01 — the median of 10 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $5.64 to $45.05. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $17.49 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 8.4/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is BWMX overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $15.77, 6 of 10 active models suggest BWMX may be undervalued, while 4 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 10 fair value estimates is $19.01, 20.6% above the current price of $15.77 — a consensus view that BWMX is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Betterware de México, S.A.P.I. de C.V.'s business model in Specialty Retail.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.4 mean for BWMX?

Betterware de México, S.A.P.I. de C.V.'s QOC of 8.4/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on BWMX?

CirclFi analyzes BWMX with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 10 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on BWMX?

Of the 10 models currently active on BWMX, First Chicago is the most bullish at $45.05 per share, and EROIC Spread is the most bearish at $5.64. CirclFi's published fair value for BWMX is the median of that range, $19.01, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 207% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is BWMX a value trap in 2026?

Betterware de México, S.A.P.I. de C.V.'s Value Trap score is 24/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, Betterware de México, S.A.P.I. de C.V. (BWMX) has a median fair value of $19.01 — 20.6% above the current price of $15.77 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/BWMX/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this BWMX valuation

Market data for BWMX as of ; valuations recomputed .

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