Ocean Power Technologies, Inc. (OPTT) Fair Value 2026

OPTT · Specialty Industrial Machinery ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

4.8 /10

32 fundamental signals · 2 models active

Value Trap Risk

WARN (44/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, Ocean Power Technologies, Inc. (OPTT) trades at $0.17, versus a $0.12 median fair value across its 2 active models — 32.0% below the current price. QOC: 4.8/10. Value Trap Risk: 44/100 (WARN). 2/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
OPTT
Price
$0.17
Quality Score
4.8/10
Value Trap Risk
44/100
Models Active
2/13
Last Updated
Strength: 2 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Value Trap score of 44 suggests caution despite apparent undervaluation

Is Ocean Power Technologies, Inc. (OPTT) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 2-model valuation engine, Ocean Power Technologies, Inc. (OPTT) appears overvalued as of : the median of 2 independent fair value estimates is $0.12, 32.0% below the current price of $0.17. Estimates range from $0.11 to $0.12. OPTT scores 4.8/10 on fundamental quality and 44/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. OPTT’s -32.0% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Specialty Industrial Machinery sector median is -44.1%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Ocean Power Technologies, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give OPTT?

2 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($0.17)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Asset-Based · High Conviction
$0.11 -35.5%
Option-Based · Medium Conviction
$0.12 -28.4%

All Models Active

All 2 models are displayed above.

What Is Ocean Power Technologies, Inc. (OPTT) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Ocean Power Technologies, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $0.12, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $0.17. With 2 out of 2 models flagging downside (-32.0% vs price), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth.

What Do the Models Say About OPTT?

2 of 13 models are currently active for OPTT. All 2 active models suggest the stock trades above fair value. Taken together, their median fair value for OPTT is $0.12 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does OPTT Rank in Specialty Industrial Machinery?

Among 87 Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, OPTT ranks #68 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 4.8/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 4.8 reflects mixed fundamentals.

See all Most Undervalued Specialty Industrial Machinery Stocks →

Within the Specialty Industrial Machinery space, Ocean Power Technologies, Inc. competes in an environment where capacity utilization rate often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.

Is OPTT a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns OPTT a score of 44/100 (WARN). This is a warning signal. Additional research into recent 10-Q filings is recommended. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

2 of 13 models are active for Ocean Power Technologies, Inc.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Ocean Power Technologies, Inc. is rated at 4.8/10. This moderate-tier score shows mixed signals across our quality framework with notable weaknesses.

Models cluster within a tight range (+7.1% spread), increasing conviction. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every OPTT valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across OPTT's 2 active models, average confidence is 44%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Ocean Power Technologies, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Specialty Industrial Machinery Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

10 related Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: INIO · HYOR · CEIN · FISN · AUSI · SPPL · WTS · CSW · CXT · EPAC

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to OPTT?

7 companies across all industries closest to OPTT’s Quality of Company score of 4.8/10.

Read investment analysis: TSAT · DFSC · QNCX · FLYE · TTRX · LYEL · NVDA

Where Does OPTT Sit in CirclFi's Specialty Industrial Machinery Rankings?

OPTT is ranked against every other Specialty Industrial Machinery stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Ocean Power Technologies, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Ocean Power Technologies, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Ocean Power Technologies, Inc. (OPTT)'s intrinsic value at $0.12 — the median of 2 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $0.11 to $0.12. The Quality of Company score is 4.8/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is OPTT overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $0.17, 0 of 2 active models suggest OPTT may be undervalued, while 2 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 2 fair value estimates is $0.12, 32.0% below the current price of $0.17 — a consensus view that OPTT is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Ocean Power Technologies, Inc.'s business model in Specialty Industrial Machinery.

What does a Quality of Company score of 4.8 mean for OPTT?

Ocean Power Technologies, Inc.'s QOC of 4.8/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores below 5 flag potential fundamental weaknesses requiring careful analysis.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on OPTT?

CirclFi analyzes OPTT with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 2 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is OPTT a value trap in 2026?

Ocean Power Technologies, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 44/100 (WARN). This elevated score suggests the stock may look undervalued but faces deteriorating fundamentals — declining margins, rising debt, or shrinking revenue could make the apparent discount deceptive. Browse our ranked stock lists to compare value-trap scores across industries. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 2-model valuation engine, Ocean Power Technologies, Inc. (OPTT) has a median fair value of $0.12 — 32.0% below the current price of $0.17 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/OPTT/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this OPTT valuation
  • Financial statements: Ocean Power Technologies, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001378140) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for OPTT as of ; valuations recomputed .