China Pharma Holdings, Inc. (CPHI) Fair Value 2026

CPHI · Pharmaceutical Preparations ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

3.8 /10

32 fundamental signals · 10 models active

Value Trap Risk

WARN (47/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-15, China Pharma Holdings, Inc. (CPHI) trades at $1.10, approximately 661% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $0.14. QOC: 3.8/10. Value Trap Risk: 47/100 (WARN). 10/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
CPHI
Price
$1.10
Quality Score
3.8/10
Value Trap Risk
47/100
Models Active
10/13
Last Updated
Strength: 10 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Value Trap score of 47 suggests caution despite apparent undervaluation

Is China Pharma Holdings, Inc. (CPHI) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, China Pharma Holdings, Inc. (CPHI) appears overvalued as of : the median of 10 independent fair value estimates is $0.16, 85.1% below the current price of $1.10. Estimates range from $0.02 to $0.81. CPHI scores 3.8/10 on fundamental quality and 47/100 on value-trap risk.

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy China Pharma Holdings, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Valuation Matrix

10 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($1.10)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
Low Conviction
$0.14 -86.9%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$0.18 -83.2%
First Chicago
Low Conviction
$0.02 -98.4%
Dynamic NAV
High Conviction
$0.32 -70.6%

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What Is China Pharma Holdings, Inc. (CPHI) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, China Pharma Holdings, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $0.25. Trading at its current price of $1.10, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 10 of 10 models flag downside risk, projecting an average implied return of -76.9%. Notably, FTNN sees the most upside at -26.4% (fair value: $0.81), while First Chicago is the most conservative at -98.4% ($0.02). The spread between these extremes — +72.0% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About CPHI?

10 of 13 models are currently active for CPHI. All 10 active models suggest the stock trades above fair value. The Bayesian DCF estimates CPHI's intrinsic value at $0.14, implying -86.9% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does CPHI Rank in Pharmaceutical Preparations?

Among 431 Pharmaceutical Preparations stocks, CPHI ranks #356 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 3.8/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 3.8 signals below-average fundamentals.

See all Most Undervalued Pharmaceutical Preparations Stocks →

The Pharmaceutical Preparations sector introduces analytical considerations specific to healthcare company businesses. For China Pharma Holdings, Inc., metrics like patent cliff exposure provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.

Is CPHI a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns CPHI a score of 47/100 (WARN). This is a warning signal. Additional research into recent 10-Q filings is recommended. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

10 of 13 models are active for China Pharma Holdings, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, China Pharma Holdings, Inc. scores 3.8 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a moderate rating that shows mixed signals across our quality framework with notable weaknesses. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +72.0% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every CPHI valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across CPHI's 10 active models, average confidence is 27%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy China Pharma Holdings, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Pharmaceutical Preparations Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Pharmaceutical Preparations stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: AZN · CPRX · HRMY · NVO · SIGA

See all Pharmaceutical Preparations stocks ranked →

Frequently Asked Questions About China Pharma Holdings, Inc.

What is China Pharma Holdings, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, China Pharma Holdings, Inc. (CPHI) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $0.14. The Quality of Company score is 3.8/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is CPHI overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $1.10, 0 of 10 active models suggest CPHI may be undervalued, while 10 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 10 fair value estimates is $0.16, 85.1% below the current price of $1.10 — a consensus view that CPHI is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits China Pharma Holdings, Inc.'s business model in Pharmaceutical Preparations.

What does a Quality of Company score of 3.8 mean for CPHI?

China Pharma Holdings, Inc.'s QOC of 3.8/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores below 5 flag potential fundamental weaknesses requiring careful analysis.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on CPHI?

CirclFi analyzes CPHI with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 10 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is CPHI a value trap in 2026?

China Pharma Holdings, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 47/100 (WARN). This elevated score suggests the stock may look undervalued but faces deteriorating fundamentals — declining margins, rising debt, or shrinking revenue could make the apparent discount deceptive. Browse our ranked stock lists to compare value-trap scores across industries. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, China Pharma Holdings, Inc. (CPHI) has a median fair value of $0.16 — 85.1% below the current price of $1.10 — as of 2026-07-15.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/CPHI/ · Methodology

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