What Is Tilray Brands, Inc. (TLRY) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Tilray Brands, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a composite fair value of $6.11. While the stock appears modestly undervalued at $4.46 (implied upside of +36.9%), our analysis suggests a thinner margin of safety across 7 of 10 bullish models. Notably, Regime Cross sees the most upside at +161.4% (fair value: $11.66), while Markov DDM is the most conservative at -97.6% ($0.11). The spread between these extremes — +258.9% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.
What Do the Models Say About TLRY?
10 of 13 models are currently active for TLRY. Of these, 7 models suggest upside while 3 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates TLRY's intrinsic value at $1.07, implying -76.1% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does TLRY Rank in Medicinal Chemicals & Botanical Products?
Among 17 Medicinal Chemicals & Botanical Products stocks, TLRY ranks #5 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.4/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.4 indicates above-average quality.
As a manufacturing company, Tilray Brands, Inc. operates in a sector where capacity utilization rate is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating TLRY should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.
Is TLRY a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns TLRY a score of 17/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
10 of 13 models are active for Tilray Brands, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Tilray Brands, Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 6.4/10. This respectable score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +258.9% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every TLRY valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across TLRY's 10 active models, average confidence is 32%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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