AMREP Corporation (AXR) Fair Value 2026

AXR · Land Subdividers & Developers (No Cemeteries) ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.8 /10

32 fundamental signals · 12 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (18/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, AMREP Corporation (AXR) trades at $25.68, approximately 24% below CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $33.85. QOC: 8.8/10. Value Trap Risk: 18/100 (SAFE). 12/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
AXR
Price
$25.68
Quality Score
8.8/10
Value Trap Risk
18/100
Models Active
12/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +58.1% upside with 48% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (12/13) may reduce confidence

Valuation Matrix

12 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($25.68)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
High Conviction
$33.85 +31.8%
Earnings Power Value
High Conviction
$17.49 -31.9%
CUCE Ensemble
Medium Conviction
$25.63 -0.2%
First Chicago
Medium Conviction
$40.60 +58.1%

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What Is AMREP Corporation (AXR) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, AMREP Corporation's intrinsic value is estimated at $27.73, presenting a divided outlook at the current price of $25.68. With an average implied return of +8.0% across a split 5–5 (bull–bear) consensus, the model spread of +117.2% underscores analytical uncertainty. Notably, ML-RIV sees the most upside at +85.3% (fair value: $47.58), while EPV is the most conservative at -31.9% ($17.49). The spread between these extremes — +117.2% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About AXR?

12 of 13 models are currently active for AXR. Of these, 5 models suggest upside while 7 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates AXR's intrinsic value at $33.85, implying +31.8% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does AXR Rank in Land Subdividers & Developers (No Cemeteries)?

Among 4 Land Subdividers & Developers (No Cemeteries) stocks, AXR ranks #2 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.8/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.8 places AXR in the top tier.

AMREP Corporation operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is AXR a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns AXR a score of 18/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

12 of 13 models are active for AMREP Corporation. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, AMREP Corporation's fundamental quality profile registers 8.8/10. This robust score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +117.2% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every AXR valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across AXR's 12 active models, average confidence is 42%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy AMREP Corporation Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Land Subdividers & Developers (No Cemeteries) Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

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Frequently Asked Questions About AMREP Corporation

What is AMREP Corporation's intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, AMREP Corporation (AXR) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $33.85. The Quality of Company score is 8.8/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is AXR overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $25.68, 5 of 12 active models suggest AXR may be undervalued, while 7 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits AMREP Corporation's business model in Land Subdividers & Developers (No Cemeteries).

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.8 mean for AXR?

AMREP Corporation's QOC of 8.8/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on AXR?

CirclFi analyzes AXR with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 12 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is AXR a value trap in 2026?

AMREP Corporation's Value Trap score is 18/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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