AMREP Corporation (AXR) Fair Value 2026

AXR · Real Estate - Development ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.0 /10

32 fundamental signals · 7 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (24/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, AMREP Corporation (AXR) trades at $22.95, versus a $17.36 median fair value across its 7 active models — 24.4% below the current price. QOC: 8.0/10. Value Trap Risk: 24/100 (SAFE). 7/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
AXR
Price
$22.95
Quality Score
8.0/10
Value Trap Risk
24/100
Models Active
7/13
Last Updated
Strength: Quality Score of 8.0/10 indicates strong fundamentals
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is AMREP Corporation (AXR) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 7-model valuation engine, AMREP Corporation (AXR) appears overvalued as of : the median of 7 independent fair value estimates is $17.36, 24.4% below the current price of $22.95. Estimates range from $14.63 to $33.53. AXR scores 8.0/10 on fundamental quality and 24/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. AXR’s -24.4% gap is wider than that market norm. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy AMREP Corporation Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give AXR?

7 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($22.95)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $17.36 -24.4%
Ensemble · Medium Conviction
 $17.83 -22.3%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $16.10 -29.8%
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What Is AXR's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 7 independent models · $14.63 to $33.53

CirclFi's 7 active models place AMREP Corporation (AXR) between $14.63 and $33.53 per share, a spread of 109% of the median. The median of that range — $17.36 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for AXR, against a current price of $22.95.

Low · Regime CrossHigh · Sentiment SOTP
$14.63median $17.36$33.53
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$14.63
Most bullish modelSentiment SOTP$33.53
Model agreement1 bullish · 5 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for AXR. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on AXR, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is AMREP Corporation (AXR) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the balance of valuation evidence tilts cautious on AMREP Corporation at its current price of $22.95. The median intrinsic value is estimated at $17.36 (-24.4% vs price), with 5 models flagging overvaluation risk. Notably, Sentiment SOTP sees the most upside at +46.1% (fair value: $33.53), while Regime Cross is the most conservative at -36.2% ($14.63). The spread between these extremes — +82.3% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About AXR?

7 of 13 models are currently active for AXR. Of these, 2 models suggest upside while 5 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for AXR is $17.36 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does AXR Rank in Real Estate - Development?

Among 19 Real Estate - Development stocks, AXR ranks #1 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.0/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.0 places AXR in the top tier.

Within the Real Estate - Development space, AMREP Corporation competes in an environment where same-property NOI growth often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.

Is AXR a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns AXR a score of 24/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

7 of 13 models are active for AMREP Corporation. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, AMREP Corporation's fundamental quality profile registers 8.0/10. This robust score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +82.3% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every AXR valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across AXR's 7 active models, average confidence is 42%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy AMREP Corporation Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Real Estate - Development Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

9 related Real Estate - Development stocks with 13-model coverage

LPALogistic Properties of the AmericasQOC 2.4FPHFive Point Holdings, LLCQOC 7.7RENXRenX Enterprises Corp.QOC 4.0FORForestar Group Inc.QOC 7.7MYCBMy City Builders, Inc.QOC 4.4LRELead Real Estate Co., LtdQOC 7.6HHHHoward Hughes Holdings Inc.QOC 7.3KANPKaanapali Land, LLCQOC 6.0AEIAlset Inc.QOC 4.8

Read investment analysis: LPA · FPH · RENX · FOR · MYCB · LRE · HHH · KANP · AEI

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to AXR?

7 companies across all industries closest to AXR’s Quality of Company score of 8.0/10.

PACGrupo Aeroportuario del Pacífico, S.A.B. de C.V.QOC 8.0WEXWEX Inc.QOC 8.0AVOMission Produce, Inc.QOC 8.0UNHUnitedHealth Group IncorporatedQOC 8.0HLXHelix Energy Solutions Group, Inc.QOC 8.0HNIHNI CorporationQOC 8.0NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: PAC · WEX · AVO · UNH · HLX · HNI · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About AMREP Corporation’s Valuation?

What is AMREP Corporation's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts AMREP Corporation (AXR)'s intrinsic value at $17.36 — the median of 7 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $14.63 to $33.53. The Quality of Company score is 8.0/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is AXR overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $22.95, 2 of 7 active models suggest AXR may be undervalued, while 5 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 7 fair value estimates is $17.36, 24.4% below the current price of $22.95 — a consensus view that AXR is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits AMREP Corporation's business model in Real Estate - Development.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.0 mean for AXR?

AMREP Corporation's QOC of 8.0/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on AXR?

CirclFi analyzes AXR with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 7 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on AXR?

Of the 7 models currently active on AXR, Sentiment SOTP is the most bullish at $33.53 per share, and Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bearish at $14.63. CirclFi's published fair value for AXR is the median of that range, $17.36, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 109% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is AXR a value trap in 2026?

AMREP Corporation's Value Trap score is 24/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 7-model valuation engine, AMREP Corporation (AXR) has a median fair value of $17.36 — 24.4% below the current price of $22.95 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/AXR/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this AXR valuation
  • Financial statements: AMREP Corporation 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000006207) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for AXR as of ; valuations recomputed .

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