Stratus Properties Inc. (STRS) Fair Value 2026

STRS · Real Estate - Diversified ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.9 /10

32 fundamental signals · 3 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (36/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Stratus Properties Inc. (STRS) trades at $19.01, versus a $4.43 median fair value across its 3 active models — 76.7% below the current price. QOC: 6.9/10. Value Trap Risk: 36/100 (LOW). 3/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
STRS
Price
$19.01
Quality Score
6.9/10
Value Trap Risk
36/100
Models Active
3/13
Last Updated
Strength: PWERM suggests +75.4% upside with 38% confidence
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Stratus Properties Inc. (STRS) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 3-model valuation engine, Stratus Properties Inc. (STRS) appears overvalued as of : the median of 3 independent fair value estimates is $4.43, 76.7% below the current price of $19.01. Estimates range from $3.92 to $33.34. STRS scores 6.9/10 on fundamental quality and 36/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. STRS’s -76.7% gap is wider than that market norm. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Stratus Properties Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give STRS?

3 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($19.01)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · Medium Conviction
 $3.92 -79.4%
Asset-Based · Medium Conviction
 $4.43 -76.7%
Option-Based · Medium Conviction
 $33.34 +75.4%

All Models Active

All 3 models are displayed above.

What Is STRS's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 3 independent models · $3.92 to $33.34

CirclFi's 3 active models place Stratus Properties Inc. (STRS) between $3.92 and $33.34 per share, a spread of 664% of the median. The median of that range — $4.43 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for STRS, against a current price of $19.01.

Low · ML-RIVHigh · PWERM
$3.92median $4.43$33.34
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelML Residual Income$3.92
Most bullish modelPWERM$33.34
Model agreement1 bullish · 2 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for STRS. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on STRS, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Stratus Properties Inc. (STRS) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Stratus Properties Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a median fair value of $4.43. Trading at $19.01, the stock is approaching fair value or slight overvaluation (implied return of -76.7%), as 2 of 3 models suggest limited further upside. Model dispersion is worth noting: PWERM targets $33.34 (+75.4%), versus ML-RIV at $3.92 (-79.4%). This +154.8% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About STRS?

3 of 13 models are currently active for STRS. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 2 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for STRS is $4.43 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does STRS Rank in Real Estate - Diversified?

Among 3 Real Estate - Diversified stocks, STRS ranks #3 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.9/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.9 indicates above-average quality.

The Real Estate - Diversified sector introduces analytical considerations specific to real estate investment trust businesses. For Stratus Properties Inc., metrics like weighted average lease term (WALT) provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.

Is STRS a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns STRS a score of 36/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

3 of 13 models are active for Stratus Properties Inc.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Stratus Properties Inc. scores 6.9 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a solid rating that maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +154.8% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every STRS valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across STRS's 3 active models, average confidence is 45%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Stratus Properties Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Real Estate - Diversified Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

2 related Real Estate - Diversified stocks with 13-model coverage

JOEThe St. Joe CompanyQOC 8.8VTMXCorporación Inmobiliaria Vesta, S.A.B. de C.V.QOC 7.9

Read investment analysis: JOE · VTMX

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to STRS?

7 companies across all industries closest to STRS’s Quality of Company score of 6.9/10.

NTGRNETGEAR, Inc.QOC 6.9XELXcel Energy Inc.QOC 6.9AMTDAMTD IDEA GroupQOC 6.9SMGThe Scotts Miracle-Gro CompanyQOC 6.9PRCTPROCEPT BioRobotics CorporationQOC 6.9AMRAlpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc.QOC 6.9NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: NTGR · XEL · AMTD · SMG · PRCT · AMR · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Stratus Properties Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Stratus Properties Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Stratus Properties Inc. (STRS)'s intrinsic value at $4.43 — the median of 3 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $3.92 to $33.34. The Quality of Company score is 6.9/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is STRS overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $19.01, 1 of 3 active models suggest STRS may be undervalued, while 2 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 3 fair value estimates is $4.43, 76.7% below the current price of $19.01 — a consensus view that STRS is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Stratus Properties Inc.'s business model in Real Estate - Diversified.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.9 mean for STRS?

Stratus Properties Inc.'s QOC of 6.9/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on STRS?

CirclFi analyzes STRS with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 3 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on STRS?

Of the 3 models currently active on STRS, PWERM is the most bullish at $33.34 per share, and ML Residual Income is the most bearish at $3.92. CirclFi's published fair value for STRS is the median of that range, $4.43, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 664% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is STRS a value trap in 2026?

Stratus Properties Inc.'s Value Trap score is 36/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 3-model valuation engine, Stratus Properties Inc. (STRS) has a median fair value of $4.43 — 76.7% below the current price of $19.01 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/STRS/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this STRS valuation
  • Financial statements: Stratus Properties Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000885508) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for STRS as of ; valuations recomputed .