What Is Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. (SWK) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Stanley Black & Decker, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $52.39, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $86.52. With 11 out of 13 models flagging downside (-39.4% average return), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. Model dispersion is worth noting: PWERM targets $98.30 (+13.6%), versus First Chicago at $22.36 (-74.2%). This +87.8% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology. Among models with highest confidence, Bayesian DCF, EPV, RCMH-DCF lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.
What Do the Models Say About SWK?
13 of 13 models are currently active for SWK. Of these, 2 models suggest upside while 11 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates SWK's intrinsic value at $25.05, implying -71.0% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does SWK Rank in Cutlery, Handtools & General Hardware?
Among 8 Cutlery, Handtools & General Hardware stocks, SWK ranks #8 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.2/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.2 indicates above-average quality.
Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.
Is SWK a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns SWK a score of 6/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
13 of 13 models are active for Stanley Black & Decker, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Stanley Black & Decker, Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 6.2/10. This respectable score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +87.8% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every SWK valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across SWK's 13 active models, average confidence is 54%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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