Chicago Rivet & Machine Co. (CVR) Fair Value 2026

CVR · Tools & Accessories ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.3 /10

32 fundamental signals · 2 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (39/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-10-07, Chicago Rivet & Machine Co. (CVR) trades at $11.06, versus a $25.92 median fair value across its 2 active models — 134.4% above the current price. QOC: 6.3/10. Value Trap Risk: 39/100 (LOW). 2/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
CVR
Price
$11.06
Quality Score
6.3/10
Value Trap Risk
39/100
Models Active
2/13
Last Updated
Strength: FTNN Topology suggests +271.8% upside with 6% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (2/13) may reduce confidence

Is Chicago Rivet & Machine Co. (CVR) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 2-model valuation engine, Chicago Rivet & Machine Co. (CVR) appears undervalued as of : the median of 2 independent fair value estimates is $25.92, 134.4% above the current price of $11.06. Estimates range from $10.72 to $41.12. CVR scores 6.3/10 on fundamental quality and 39/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -20.1% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,777 rated companies as of 2026-10-07. CVR’s +134.4% gap is wider than that market norm. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Chicago Rivet & Machine Co. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give CVR?

2 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($11.06)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Asset-Based · High Conviction
 $10.72 -3.1%
Relative · Low Conviction
 $41.12 +271.8%

All Models Active

All 2 models are displayed above.

What Is Chicago Rivet & Machine Co. (CVR) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Chicago Rivet & Machine Co.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $25.92, presenting a divided outlook at the current price of $11.06. With a median implied return of +134.4% across a split 1–0 (bull–bear) consensus, the model spread of +274.9% underscores analytical uncertainty. Notably, FTNN sees the most upside at +271.8% (fair value: $41.12), while Dynamic NAV is the most conservative at -3.1% ($10.72). The spread between these extremes — +274.9% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About CVR?

2 of 13 models are currently active for CVR. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 1 model suggests overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for CVR is $25.92 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does CVR Rank in Tools & Accessories?

Among 10 Tools & Accessories stocks, CVR ranks #9 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.3/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.3 indicates above-average quality.

Chicago Rivet & Machine Co. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is CVR a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns CVR a score of 39/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

2 of 13 models are active for Chicago Rivet & Machine Co.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Chicago Rivet & Machine Co.'s fundamental quality profile registers 6.3/10. This respectable score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +274.9% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every CVR valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across CVR's 2 active models, average confidence is 31%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Chicago Rivet & Machine Co. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Tools & Accessories Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

9 related Tools & Accessories stocks with 13-model coverage

LECOLincoln Electric Holdings, Inc.QOC 9.3SNASnap-on IncorporatedQOC 9.0RBCRBC Bearings IncorporatedQOC 8.7TTCThe Toro CompanyQOC 8.4TKRThe Timken CompanyQOC 8.1SWKStanley Black & Decker, Inc.QOC 7.7HLMNHillman Solutions Corp.QOC 7.6EMLThe Eastern CompanyQOC 6.9ZJKZJK Industrial Co., Ltd.QOC 2.7

Read investment analysis: LECO · SNA · RBC · TTC · TKR · SWK · HLMN · EML · ZJK

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to CVR?

7 companies across all industries closest to CVR’s Quality of Company score of 6.3/10.

IONSIonis Pharmaceuticals, Inc.QOC 6.3INDIindie Semiconductor, Inc.QOC 6.3AIOTPowerFleet, Inc.QOC 6.3CMCMCheetah Mobile Inc.QOC 6.3NAIINatural Alternatives International, Inc.QOC 6.3LGNLegence Corp.QOC 6.3NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: IONS · INDI · AIOT · CMCM · NAII · LGN · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Chicago Rivet & Machine Co.’s Valuation?

What is Chicago Rivet & Machine Co.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Chicago Rivet & Machine Co. (CVR)'s intrinsic value at $25.92 — the median of 2 independent model estimates as of 2026-10-07, ranging from $10.72 to $41.12. The Quality of Company score is 6.3/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is CVR overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $11.06, 1 of 2 active models suggest CVR may be undervalued, while 1 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 2 fair value estimates is $25.92, 134.4% above the current price of $11.06 — a consensus view that CVR is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Chicago Rivet & Machine Co.'s business model in Tools & Accessories.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.3 mean for CVR?

Chicago Rivet & Machine Co.'s QOC of 6.3/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on CVR?

CirclFi analyzes CVR with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 2 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is CVR a value trap in 2026?

Chicago Rivet & Machine Co.'s Value Trap score is 39/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 2-model valuation engine, Chicago Rivet & Machine Co. (CVR) has a median fair value of $25.92 — 134.4% above the current price of $11.06 — as of 2026-10-07.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/CVR/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this CVR valuation
  • Financial statements: Chicago Rivet & Machine Co. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000019871) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for CVR as of ; valuations recomputed .