The Eastern Company (EML) Fair Value 2026

EML · Tools & Accessories ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.9 /10

32 fundamental signals · 11 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (17/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, The Eastern Company (EML) trades at $26.35, versus a $12.56 median fair value across its 11 active models — 52.3% below the current price. QOC: 6.9/10. Value Trap Risk: 17/100 (SAFE). 11/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
EML
Price
$26.35
Quality Score
6.9/10
Value Trap Risk
17/100
Models Active
11/13
Last Updated
Strength: 11 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is The Eastern Company (EML) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, The Eastern Company (EML) appears overvalued as of : the median of 11 independent fair value estimates is $12.56, 52.3% below the current price of $26.35. Estimates range from $4.88 to $37.06. EML scores 6.9/10 on fundamental quality and 17/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. EML’s -52.3% gap is wider than that market norm. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy The Eastern Company Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give EML?

11 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($26.35)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $5.02 -81.0%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $13.01 -50.6%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $12.56 -52.3%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $9.59 -63.6%
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What Is EML's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 11 independent models · $4.88 to $37.06

CirclFi's 11 active models place The Eastern Company (EML) between $4.88 and $37.06 per share, a spread of 256% of the median. The median of that range — $12.56 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for EML, against a current price of $26.35.

Low · Dynamic NAVHigh · FTNN
$4.88median $12.56$37.06
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelDynamic NAV$4.88
Most bullish modelFTNN Topology$37.06
Model agreement1 bullish · 9 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for EML. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on EML, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is The Eastern Company (EML) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, The Eastern Company's intrinsic value is estimated at $12.56. Trading at its current price of $26.35, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 9 of 11 models flag downside risk, projecting a median implied return of -52.3%. The most optimistic model, FTNN, places fair value at $37.06 (+40.6%), while Dynamic NAV — the most conservative — estimates $4.88 (-81.5%). This +122.1% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about The Eastern Company's intrinsic worth. Among models with highest confidence, EPV, EROIC lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About EML?

11 of 13 models are currently active for EML. Of these, 2 models suggest upside while 9 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for EML is $12.56 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does EML Rank in Tools & Accessories?

Among 8 Tools & Accessories stocks, EML ranks #8 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.9/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.9 indicates above-average quality.

The Eastern Company operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is EML a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns EML a score of 17/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

11 of 13 models are active for The Eastern Company. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, The Eastern Company earns a quality score of 6.9/10. This respectable rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +122.1% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every EML valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across EML's 11 active models, average confidence is 53%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy The Eastern Company Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Tools & Accessories Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

7 related Tools & Accessories stocks with 13-model coverage

LECOLincoln Electric Holdings, Inc.QOC 9.3SNASnap-on IncorporatedQOC 9.0RBCRBC Bearings IncorporatedQOC 8.7TTCThe Toro CompanyQOC 8.4TKRThe Timken CompanyQOC 8.1SWKStanley Black & Decker, Inc.QOC 7.7HLMNHillman Solutions Corp.QOC 7.6

Read investment analysis: LECO · SNA · RBC · TTC · TKR · SWK · HLMN

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to EML?

7 companies across all industries closest to EML’s Quality of Company score of 6.9/10.

CYRXCryoport, Inc.QOC 6.9AEHRAehr Test Systems, Inc.QOC 6.9MATVMativ Holdings, Inc.QOC 6.9CAVACAVA Group, Inc.QOC 6.9PRKAParks! America, Inc.QOC 6.9CTKBCytek Biosciences, Inc.QOC 6.9NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: CYRX · AEHR · MATV · CAVA · PRKA · CTKB · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About The Eastern Company’s Valuation?

What is The Eastern Company's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts The Eastern Company (EML)'s intrinsic value at $12.56 — the median of 11 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $4.88 to $37.06. The Quality of Company score is 6.9/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is EML overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $26.35, 2 of 11 active models suggest EML may be undervalued, while 9 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 11 fair value estimates is $12.56, 52.3% below the current price of $26.35 — a consensus view that EML is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits The Eastern Company's business model in Tools & Accessories.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.9 mean for EML?

The Eastern Company's QOC of 6.9/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on EML?

CirclFi analyzes EML with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 11 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on EML?

Of the 11 models currently active on EML, FTNN Topology is the most bullish at $37.06 per share, and Dynamic NAV is the most bearish at $4.88. CirclFi's published fair value for EML is the median of that range, $12.56, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 256% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is EML a value trap in 2026?

The Eastern Company's Value Trap score is 17/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, The Eastern Company (EML) has a median fair value of $12.56 — 52.3% below the current price of $26.35 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/EML/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this EML valuation
  • Financial statements: The Eastern Company 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000031107) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for EML as of ; valuations recomputed .

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