What Is Timken Company (The) (TKR) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Timken Company (The)'s intrinsic value is estimated at $68.94, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $139.60. With 11 out of 13 models flagging downside (-50.6% average return), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. Notably, PWERM sees the most upside at +2.6% (fair value: $143.29), while Markov DDM is the most conservative at -88.8% ($15.69). The spread between these extremes — +91.4% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.
What Do the Models Say About TKR?
13 of 13 models are currently active for TKR. Of these, 2 models suggest upside while 11 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates TKR's intrinsic value at $16.43, implying -88.2% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does TKR Rank in Ball & Roller Bearings?
Among 2 Ball & Roller Bearings stocks, TKR ranks #2 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.3/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.3 indicates above-average quality.
Timken Company (The) operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.
Is TKR a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns TKR a score of 12/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
13 of 13 models are active for Timken Company (The). Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Timken Company (The)'s fundamental quality profile registers 6.3/10. This respectable score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +91.4% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every TKR valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across TKR's 13 active models, average confidence is 47%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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