RBC Bearings Incorporated (RBC) Fair Value 2026

RBC · Tools & Accessories ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.7 /10

32 fundamental signals · 10 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (25/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-31, RBC Bearings Incorporated (RBC) trades at $494.26, versus a $164.11 median fair value across its 10 active models — 66.8% below the current price. QOC: 8.7/10. Value Trap Risk: 25/100 (LOW). 10/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $182.35.

Key Facts

Ticker
RBC
Price
$494.26
Quality Score
8.7/10
Value Trap Risk
25/100
Models Active
10/13
Last Updated
Strength: Quality Score of 8.7/10 indicates strong fundamentals
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is RBC Bearings Incorporated (RBC) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, RBC Bearings Incorporated (RBC) appears overvalued as of : the median of 10 independent fair value estimates is $164.11, 66.8% below the current price of $494.26. Estimates range from $57.95 to $509.02. RBC scores 8.7/10 on fundamental quality and 25/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.1% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,804 rated companies as of 2026-08-31. RBC’s -66.8% gap is wider than that market norm. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy RBC Bearings Incorporated Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give RBC?

10 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($494.26)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $182.35 -63.1%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $57.95 -88.3%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $145.87 -70.5%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $252.71 -48.9%
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What Is RBC's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 10 independent models · $57.95 to $509.02

CirclFi's 10 active models place RBC Bearings Incorporated (RBC) between $57.95 and $509.02 per share, a spread of 275% of the median. The median of that range — $164.11 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for RBC, against a current price of $494.26.

Low · EPVHigh · Regime Cross
$57.95median $164.11$509.02
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelEarnings Power Value (EPV)$57.95
Most bullish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$509.02
Model agreement0 bullish · 9 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for RBC. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on RBC, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is RBC Bearings Incorporated (RBC) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, RBC Bearings Incorporated's intrinsic value is estimated at $164.11, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $494.26. With 9 out of 10 models flagging downside (-66.8% vs price), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. Model dispersion is worth noting: Regime Cross targets $509.02 (+3.0%), versus EPV at $57.95 (-88.3%). This +91.3% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology. Among models with highest confidence, Bayesian DCF, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About RBC?

10 of 13 models are currently active for RBC. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 9 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for RBC is $164.11 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $182.35 on its own, implying -63.1% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does RBC Rank in Tools & Accessories?

Among 9 Tools & Accessories stocks, RBC ranks #3 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.7/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.7 places RBC in the top tier.

RBC Bearings Incorporated operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is RBC a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns RBC a score of 25/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

10 of 13 models are active for RBC Bearings Incorporated. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, RBC Bearings Incorporated's fundamental quality profile registers 8.7/10. This robust score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +91.3% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every RBC valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across RBC's 10 active models, average confidence is 52%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy RBC Bearings Incorporated Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Tools & Accessories Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Tools & Accessories stocks with 13-model coverage

LECOLincoln Electric Holdings, Inc.QOC 9.3SNASnap-on IncorporatedQOC 9.0TTCThe Toro CompanyQOC 8.4TKRThe Timken CompanyQOC 8.1SWKStanley Black & Decker, Inc.QOC 7.7HLMNHillman Solutions Corp.QOC 7.6EMLThe Eastern CompanyQOC 6.9CVRChicago Rivet & Machine Co.QOC 6.3

Read investment analysis: LECO · SNA · TTC · TKR · SWK · HLMN · EML · CVR

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to RBC?

7 companies across all industries closest to RBC’s Quality of Company score of 8.7/10.

NLCPNewLake Capital Partners, Inc.QOC 8.7PLNTPlanet Fitness, Inc.QOC 8.7CHCOCity Holding CompanyQOC 8.7ECLEcolab Inc.QOC 8.7TDGTransDigm Group IncorporatedQOC 8.7TDWTidewater Inc.QOC 8.7NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: NLCP · PLNT · CHCO · ECL · TDG · TDW · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About RBC Bearings Incorporated’s Valuation?

What is RBC Bearings Incorporated's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts RBC Bearings Incorporated (RBC)'s intrinsic value at $164.11 — the median of 10 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-31, ranging from $57.95 to $509.02. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $182.35 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 8.7/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is RBC overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $494.26, 1 of 10 active models suggest RBC may be undervalued, while 9 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 10 fair value estimates is $164.11, 66.8% below the current price of $494.26 — a consensus view that RBC is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits RBC Bearings Incorporated's business model in Tools & Accessories.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.7 mean for RBC?

RBC Bearings Incorporated's QOC of 8.7/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on RBC?

CirclFi analyzes RBC with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 10 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on RBC?

Of the 10 models currently active on RBC, Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bullish at $509.02 per share, and Earnings Power Value (EPV) is the most bearish at $57.95. CirclFi's published fair value for RBC is the median of that range, $164.11, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 275% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is RBC a value trap in 2026?

RBC Bearings Incorporated's Value Trap score is 25/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, RBC Bearings Incorporated (RBC) has a median fair value of $164.11 — 66.8% below the current price of $494.26 — as of 2026-08-31.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/RBC/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this RBC valuation
  • Financial statements: RBC Bearings Incorporated 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001324948) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for RBC as of ; valuations recomputed .

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