What Is Expeditors International of Was (EXPD) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Expeditors International of Was's intrinsic value is estimated at $119.28, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $175.50. With 11 out of 13 models flagging downside (-32.0% average return), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. Model dispersion is worth noting: Markov DDM targets $214.06 (+22.0%), versus Dynamic NAV at $32.73 (-81.3%). This +103.3% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.
What Do the Models Say About EXPD?
13 of 13 models are currently active for EXPD. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 12 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates EXPD's intrinsic value at $121.13, implying -31.0% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does EXPD Rank in Arrangement of Transportation of Freight & Cargo?
Among 16 Arrangement of Transportation of Freight & Cargo stocks, EXPD ranks #1 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 9.3/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 9.3 places EXPD in the top tier.
As a transportation company, Expeditors International of Was operates in a sector where units delivered is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating EXPD should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.
Is EXPD a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns EXPD a score of 14/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
13 of 13 models are active for Expeditors International of Was. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Expeditors International of Was's fundamental quality profile registers 9.3/10. This exceptional score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +103.3% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every EXPD valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across EXPD's 13 active models, average confidence is 43%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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