Atmus Filtration Technologies Inc. (ATMU) Fair Value 2026

ATMU · Auto Parts ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.6 /10

32 fundamental signals · 10 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (0/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-10-07, Atmus Filtration Technologies Inc. (ATMU) trades at $45.96, versus a $19.86 median fair value across its 10 active models — 56.8% below the current price. QOC: 8.6/10. Value Trap Risk: 0/100 (SAFE). 10/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $3.19.

Key Facts

Ticker
ATMU
Price
$45.96
Quality Score
8.6/10
Value Trap Risk
0/100
Models Active
10/13
Last Updated
Strength: Quality Score of 8.6/10 indicates strong fundamentals
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Atmus Filtration Technologies Inc. (ATMU) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, Atmus Filtration Technologies Inc. (ATMU) appears overvalued as of : the median of 10 independent fair value estimates is $19.86, 56.8% below the current price of $45.96. Estimates range from $3.19 to $83.02. ATMU scores 8.6/10 on fundamental quality and 0/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -20.1% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,777 rated companies as of 2026-10-07. ATMU’s -56.8% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Auto Parts sector median is -9.4%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Atmus Filtration Technologies Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give ATMU?

10 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($45.96)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $3.19 -93.1%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $16.06 -65.0%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $18.74 -59.2%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $37.80 -17.8%
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What Is ATMU's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 10 independent models · $3.19 to $83.02

CirclFi's 10 active models place Atmus Filtration Technologies Inc. (ATMU) between $3.19 and $83.02 per share, a spread of 402% of the median. The median of that range — $19.86 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for ATMU, against a current price of $45.96.

Low · Bayesian DCFHigh · Regime Cross
$3.19median $19.86$83.02
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelBayesian DCF$3.19
Most bullish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$83.02
Model agreement1 bullish · 9 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for ATMU. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on ATMU, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Atmus Filtration Technologies Inc. (ATMU) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Atmus Filtration Technologies Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $19.86, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $45.96. With 9 out of 10 models flagging downside (-56.8% vs price), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. Model dispersion is worth noting: Regime Cross targets $83.02 (+80.6%), versus Bayesian DCF at $3.19 (-93.1%). This +173.7% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology. Among models with highest confidence, Bayesian DCF, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About ATMU?

10 of 13 models are currently active for ATMU. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 9 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for ATMU is $19.86 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $3.19 on its own, implying -93.1% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does ATMU Rank in Auto Parts?

Among 58 Auto Parts stocks, ATMU ranks #6 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.6/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.6 places ATMU in the top tier.

See all Most Undervalued Auto Parts Stocks →

As a transportation company, Atmus Filtration Technologies Inc. operates in a sector where warranty cost ratio is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating ATMU should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is ATMU a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns ATMU a score of 0/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

10 of 13 models are active for Atmus Filtration Technologies Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Atmus Filtration Technologies Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 8.6/10. This robust score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +173.7% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every ATMU valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across ATMU's 10 active models, average confidence is 53%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Atmus Filtration Technologies Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Auto Parts Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Auto Parts stocks with 13-model coverage

DORMDorman Products, Inc.QOC 8.6VCVisteon CorporationQOC 8.5LEALear CorporationQOC 8.7GNTXGentex CorporationQOC 8.5XPELXPEL, Inc.QOC 9.0PLOWDouglas Dynamics, Inc.QOC 8.5BWABorgWarner Inc.QOC 8.0CPSCooper-Standard Holdings Inc.QOC 6.8ASBPAspire Biopharma Holdings, Inc.QOC 5.6ALSNAllison Transmission Holdings, Inc.QOC 9.1ALVAutoliv, Inc.QOC 9.0

Read investment analysis: DORM · VC · LEA · GNTX · XPEL · PLOW · BWA · CPS · ASBP · ALSN · ALV

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to ATMU?

7 companies across all industries closest to ATMU’s Quality of Company score of 8.6/10.

CBKMConsumers Bancorp, Inc.QOC 8.6FRSHFreshworks Inc.QOC 8.6MNSOMINISO Group Holding LimitedQOC 8.6CRAICRA International, Inc.QOC 8.6PCBPCB BancorpQOC 8.6BBSIBarrett Business Services, Inc.QOC 8.6NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: CBKM · FRSH · MNSO · CRAI · PCB · BBSI · NVDA

Where Does ATMU Sit in CirclFi's Auto Parts Rankings?

ATMU is ranked against every other Auto Parts stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Auto Parts stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Atmus Filtration Technologies Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Atmus Filtration Technologies Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Atmus Filtration Technologies Inc. (ATMU)'s intrinsic value at $19.86 — the median of 10 independent model estimates as of 2026-10-07, ranging from $3.19 to $83.02. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $3.19 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 8.6/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is ATMU overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $45.96, 1 of 10 active models suggest ATMU may be undervalued, while 9 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 10 fair value estimates is $19.86, 56.8% below the current price of $45.96 — a consensus view that ATMU is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Atmus Filtration Technologies Inc.'s business model in Auto Parts.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.6 mean for ATMU?

Atmus Filtration Technologies Inc.'s QOC of 8.6/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on ATMU?

CirclFi analyzes ATMU with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 10 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on ATMU?

Of the 10 models currently active on ATMU, Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bullish at $83.02 per share, and Bayesian DCF is the most bearish at $3.19. CirclFi's published fair value for ATMU is the median of that range, $19.86, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 402% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is ATMU a value trap in 2026?

Atmus Filtration Technologies Inc.'s Value Trap score is 0/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, Atmus Filtration Technologies Inc. (ATMU) has a median fair value of $19.86 — 56.8% below the current price of $45.96 — as of 2026-10-07.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/ATMU/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this ATMU valuation
  • Financial statements: Atmus Filtration Technologies Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001921963) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for ATMU as of ; valuations recomputed .

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