What Is Amprius Technologies, Inc. (AMPX) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Amprius Technologies, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $2.93. Trading at its current price of $11.06, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 10 of 12 models flag downside risk, projecting an average implied return of -73.5%. Notably, FTNN sees the most upside at +3.2% (fair value: $11.41), while ML-RIV is the most conservative at -98.6% ($0.16). The spread between these extremes — +101.8% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.
What Do the Models Say About AMPX?
12 of 13 models are currently active for AMPX. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 11 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates AMPX's intrinsic value at $1.82, implying -83.5% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does AMPX Rank in Electrical Equipment & Parts?
Among 4 Electrical Equipment & Parts stocks, AMPX ranks #2 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.2/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.2 indicates above-average quality.
Amprius Technologies, Inc.'s positioning within the Electrical Equipment & Parts segment means that regulatory lag plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including electrification demand growth — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.
Is AMPX a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns AMPX a score of 6/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
12 of 13 models are active for Amprius Technologies, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Amprius Technologies, Inc. earns a quality score of 7.2/10. This respectable rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +101.8% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every AMPX valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across AMPX's 12 active models, average confidence is 25%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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