Amprius Technologies, Inc. (AMPX) Fair Value 2026

AMPX · Electrical Equipment & Parts ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.3 /10

32 fundamental signals · 2 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (8/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, Amprius Technologies, Inc. (AMPX) trades at $9.89, versus a $2.99 median fair value across its 2 active models — 69.7% below the current price. QOC: 6.3/10. Value Trap Risk: 8/100 (SAFE). 2/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
AMPX
Price
$9.89
Quality Score
6.3/10
Value Trap Risk
8/100
Models Active
2/13
Last Updated
Strength: 2 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Amprius Technologies, Inc. (AMPX) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 2-model valuation engine, Amprius Technologies, Inc. (AMPX) appears overvalued as of : the median of 2 independent fair value estimates is $2.99, 69.7% below the current price of $9.89. Estimates range from $2.60 to $3.39. AMPX scores 6.3/10 on fundamental quality and 8/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. AMPX’s -69.7% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Electrical Equipment & Parts sector median is -34.8%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Amprius Technologies, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give AMPX?

2 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($9.89)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Relative · Medium Conviction
 $3.39 -65.7%
Relative · Low Conviction
 $2.60 -73.7%

All Models Active

All 2 models are displayed above.

What Is Amprius Technologies, Inc. (AMPX) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Amprius Technologies, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $2.99. Trading at its current price of $9.89, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 2 of 2 models flag downside risk, projecting a median implied return of -69.7%.

What Do the Models Say About AMPX?

2 of 13 models are currently active for AMPX. All 2 active models suggest the stock trades above fair value. Taken together, their median fair value for AMPX is $2.99 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does AMPX Rank in Electrical Equipment & Parts?

Among 57 Electrical Equipment & Parts stocks, AMPX ranks #21 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.3/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.3 indicates above-average quality.

See all Most Undervalued Electrical Equipment & Parts Stocks →

Amprius Technologies, Inc.'s positioning within the Electrical Equipment & Parts segment means that regulatory lag plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including electrification demand growth — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.

Is AMPX a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns AMPX a score of 8/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

2 of 13 models are active for Amprius Technologies, Inc.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Amprius Technologies, Inc. earns a quality score of 6.3/10. This respectable rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

Models cluster within a tight range (+8.0% spread), increasing conviction. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every AMPX valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across AMPX's 2 active models, average confidence is 24%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Amprius Technologies, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Electrical Equipment & Parts Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Electrical Equipment & Parts stocks with 13-model coverage

FCELFuelCell Energy, Inc.QOC 6.4TGENTecogen Inc.QOC 6.2PPSIPioneer Power Solutions, Inc.QOC 6.6FLUXFlux Power Holdings, Inc.QOC 6.2EOSEEos Energy Enterprises, Inc.QOC 6.6OESXOrion Energy Systems, Inc.QOC 6.1XPONExpion360 Inc.QOC 5.2SDSTStardust Power Inc.QOC 4.2AYIAcuity Inc.QOC 8.8POWLPowell Industries, Inc.QOC 9.6VRTVertiv Holdings CoQOC 9.2

Read investment analysis: FCEL · TGEN · PPSI · FLUX · EOSE · OESX · XPON · SDST · AYI · POWL · VRT

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to AMPX?

7 companies across all industries closest to AMPX’s Quality of Company score of 6.3/10.

BGSB&G Foods, Inc.QOC 6.3SIFYSify Technologies LimitedQOC 6.3CLFCleveland-Cliffs Inc.QOC 6.3BLCOBausch + Lomb CorporationQOC 6.3AMPGAmpliTech Group, Inc.QOC 6.3ALCOAlico, Inc.QOC 6.3NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: BGS · SIFY · CLF · BLCO · AMPG · ALCO · NVDA

Where Does AMPX Sit in CirclFi's Electrical Equipment & Parts Rankings?

AMPX is ranked against every other Electrical Equipment & Parts stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Electrical Equipment & Parts stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Amprius Technologies, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Amprius Technologies, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Amprius Technologies, Inc. (AMPX)'s intrinsic value at $2.99 — the median of 2 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $2.60 to $3.39. The Quality of Company score is 6.3/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is AMPX overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $9.89, 0 of 2 active models suggest AMPX may be undervalued, while 2 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 2 fair value estimates is $2.99, 69.7% below the current price of $9.89 — a consensus view that AMPX is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Amprius Technologies, Inc.'s business model in Electrical Equipment & Parts.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.3 mean for AMPX?

Amprius Technologies, Inc.'s QOC of 6.3/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on AMPX?

CirclFi analyzes AMPX with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 2 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is AMPX a value trap in 2026?

Amprius Technologies, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 8/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 2-model valuation engine, Amprius Technologies, Inc. (AMPX) has a median fair value of $2.99 — 69.7% below the current price of $9.89 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/AMPX/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this AMPX valuation
  • Financial statements: Amprius Technologies, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001899287) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for AMPX as of ; valuations recomputed .