Dole plc (DOLE) Fair Value 2026

DOLE · Farm Products ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.8 /10

32 fundamental signals · 12 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (0/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Dole plc (DOLE) trades at $13.69, versus a $18.28 median fair value across its 12 active models — 33.5% above the current price. QOC: 7.8/10. Value Trap Risk: 0/100 (SAFE). 12/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $13.83.

Key Facts

Ticker
DOLE
Price
$13.69
Quality Score
7.8/10
Value Trap Risk
0/100
Models Active
12/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +307.9% upside with 61% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (12/13) may reduce confidence

Is Dole plc (DOLE) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 12-model valuation engine, Dole plc (DOLE) appears undervalued as of : the median of 12 independent fair value estimates is $18.28, 33.5% above the current price of $13.69. Estimates range from $4.43 to $55.84. DOLE scores 7.8/10 on fundamental quality and 0/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. DOLE’s +33.5% gap is wider than that market norm. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Dole plc Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give DOLE?

12 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($13.69)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $13.83 +1.0%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $6.43 -53.0%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $17.80 +30.0%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $55.84 +307.9%
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What Is DOLE's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 12 independent models · $4.43 to $55.84

CirclFi's 12 active models place Dole plc (DOLE) between $4.43 and $55.84 per share, a spread of 281% of the median. The median of that range — $18.28 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for DOLE, against a current price of $13.69.

Low · Markov DDMHigh · First Chicago
$4.43median $18.28$55.84
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelMarkov DDM$4.43
Most bullish modelFirst Chicago$55.84
Model agreement7 bullish · 4 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for DOLE. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on DOLE, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Dole plc (DOLE) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Dole plc's intrinsic value is estimated at a median fair value of $18.28. While the stock appears modestly undervalued at $13.69 (implied upside of +33.5%), our analysis suggests a thinner margin of safety across 7 of 12 bullish models. Notably, First Chicago sees the most upside at +307.9% (fair value: $55.84), while Markov DDM is the most conservative at -67.7% ($4.43). The spread between these extremes — +375.5% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions. Among models with highest confidence, Bayesian DCF, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About DOLE?

12 of 13 models are currently active for DOLE. Of these, 8 models suggest upside while 4 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for DOLE is $18.28 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $13.83 on its own, implying +1.0% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does DOLE Rank in Farm Products?

Among 22 Farm Products stocks, DOLE ranks #5 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.8/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.8 indicates above-average quality.

Dole plc operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is DOLE a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns DOLE a score of 0/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

12 of 13 models are active for Dole plc. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Dole plc earns a quality score of 7.8/10. This robust rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +375.5% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every DOLE valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across DOLE's 12 active models, average confidence is 52%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Dole plc Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Farm Products Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

10 related Farm Products stocks with 13-model coverage

DMCDel Monte CorporationQOC 8.5TSNTyson Foods, Inc.QOC 7.6VITLVital Farms, Inc.QOC 8.6ADMArcher-Daniels-Midland CompanyQOC 7.5VFFVillage Farms International, Inc.QOC 8.8AGRZAgroz Inc.QOC 6.9LNDBrasilAgro - Companhia Brasileira de Propriedades AgrícolasQOC 6.6PFAIPinnacle Food Group LimitedQOC 5.6AGROAdecoagro S.A.QOC 2.6CALMCal-Maine Foods, Inc.QOC 9.0

Read investment analysis: DMC · TSN · VITL · ADM · VFF · AGRZ · LND · PFAI · AGRO · CALM

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to DOLE?

7 companies across all industries closest to DOLE’s Quality of Company score of 7.8/10.

RYANRyan Specialty Holdings, Inc.QOC 7.8AMKRAmkor Technology, Inc.QOC 7.8SNDRSchneider National, Inc.QOC 7.8ISTRInvestar Holding CorporationQOC 7.8FRFirst Industrial Realty Trust, Inc.QOC 7.8BIOBio-Rad Laboratories, Inc.QOC 7.8NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: RYAN · AMKR · SNDR · ISTR · FR · BIO · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Dole plc’s Valuation?

What is Dole plc's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Dole plc (DOLE)'s intrinsic value at $18.28 — the median of 12 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $4.43 to $55.84. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $13.83 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 7.8/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is DOLE overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $13.69, 8 of 12 active models suggest DOLE may be undervalued, while 4 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 12 fair value estimates is $18.28, 33.5% above the current price of $13.69 — a consensus view that DOLE is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Dole plc's business model in Farm Products.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.8 mean for DOLE?

Dole plc's QOC of 7.8/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on DOLE?

CirclFi analyzes DOLE with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 12 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on DOLE?

Of the 12 models currently active on DOLE, First Chicago is the most bullish at $55.84 per share, and Markov DDM is the most bearish at $4.43. CirclFi's published fair value for DOLE is the median of that range, $18.28, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 281% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is DOLE a value trap in 2026?

Dole plc's Value Trap score is 0/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 12-model valuation engine, Dole plc (DOLE) has a median fair value of $18.28 — 33.5% above the current price of $13.69 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/DOLE/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this DOLE valuation
  • Financial statements: Dole plc 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001857475) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for DOLE as of ; valuations recomputed .

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