Village Farms International, Inc. (VFF) Fair Value 2026

VFF · Farm Products ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.8 /10

32 fundamental signals · 10 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (30/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Village Farms International, Inc. (VFF) trades at $2.86, versus a $2.95 median fair value across its 10 active models — 3.2% above the current price. QOC: 8.8/10. Value Trap Risk: 30/100 (LOW). 10/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $2.96.

Key Facts

Ticker
VFF
Price
$2.86
Quality Score
8.8/10
Value Trap Risk
30/100
Models Active
10/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +84.6% upside with 58% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (10/13) may reduce confidence

Is Village Farms International, Inc. (VFF) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, Village Farms International, Inc. (VFF) appears fairly valued as of : the median of 10 independent fair value estimates is $2.95, within 3.2% of the current price of $2.86. Estimates range from $1.04 to $6.19. VFF scores 8.8/10 on fundamental quality and 30/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. VFF’s +3.2% gap is narrower than that market norm. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Village Farms International, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give VFF?

10 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($2.86)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $2.96 +3.7%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $2.94 +2.7%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $5.28 +84.6%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $1.04 -63.5%
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What Is VFF's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 10 independent models · $1.04 to $6.19

CirclFi's 10 active models place Village Farms International, Inc. (VFF) between $1.04 and $6.19 per share, a spread of 174% of the median. The median of that range — $2.95 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for VFF, against a current price of $2.86.

Low · ML-RIVHigh · Regime Cross
$1.04median $2.95$6.19
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelML Residual Income$1.04
Most bullish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$6.19
Model agreement4 bullish · 4 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for VFF. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on VFF, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Village Farms International, Inc. (VFF) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Village Farms International, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $2.95, presenting a divided outlook at the current price of $2.86. With a median implied return of +3.2% across a split 4–4 (bull–bear) consensus, the model spread of +179.8% underscores analytical uncertainty. Notably, Regime Cross sees the most upside at +116.3% (fair value: $6.19), while ML-RIV is the most conservative at -63.5% ($1.04). The spread between these extremes — +179.8% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About VFF?

10 of 13 models are currently active for VFF. Of these, 6 models suggest upside while 4 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for VFF is $2.95 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $2.96 on its own, implying +3.7% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does VFF Rank in Farm Products?

Among 22 Farm Products stocks, VFF ranks #2 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.8/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.8 places VFF in the top tier.

Village Farms International, Inc. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is VFF a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns VFF a score of 30/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

10 of 13 models are active for Village Farms International, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Village Farms International, Inc. scores 8.8 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a strong rating that demonstrates strong fundamentals across the majority of our quality signals. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +179.8% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every VFF valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across VFF's 10 active models, average confidence is 46%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Village Farms International, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Farm Products Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

9 related Farm Products stocks with 13-model coverage

CALMCal-Maine Foods, Inc.QOC 9.0VITLVital Farms, Inc.QOC 8.6AFRIForafric Global PLCQOC 1.9DMCDel Monte CorporationQOC 8.5AGROAdecoagro S.A.QOC 2.6DOLEDole plcQOC 7.8ADMArcher-Daniels-Midland CompanyQOC 7.5ALCOAlico, Inc.QOC 6.3AQBAquaBounty Technologies, Inc.QOC 4.6

Read investment analysis: CALM · VITL · AFRI · DMC · AGRO · DOLE · ADM · ALCO · AQB

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to VFF?

7 companies across all industries closest to VFF’s Quality of Company score of 8.8/10.

FDXFedEx CorporationQOC 8.8TCMDTactile Systems Technology, Inc.QOC 8.8VCYTVeracyte, Inc.QOC 8.8MGNIMagnite, Inc.QOC 8.8GRCThe Gorman-Rupp CompanyQOC 8.8IBOCInternational Bancshares CorporationQOC 8.8NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: FDX · TCMD · VCYT · MGNI · GRC · IBOC · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Village Farms International, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Village Farms International, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Village Farms International, Inc. (VFF)'s intrinsic value at $2.95 — the median of 10 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $1.04 to $6.19. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $2.96 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 8.8/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is VFF overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $2.86, 6 of 10 active models suggest VFF may be undervalued, while 4 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 10 fair value estimates is $2.95, within 3.2% of the current price of $2.86 — a consensus view that VFF is fairly valued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Village Farms International, Inc.'s business model in Farm Products.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.8 mean for VFF?

Village Farms International, Inc.'s QOC of 8.8/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on VFF?

CirclFi analyzes VFF with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 10 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on VFF?

Of the 10 models currently active on VFF, Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bullish at $6.19 per share, and ML Residual Income is the most bearish at $1.04. CirclFi's published fair value for VFF is the median of that range, $2.95, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 174% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is VFF a value trap in 2026?

Village Farms International, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 30/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, Village Farms International, Inc. (VFF) has a median fair value of $2.95 — within 3.2% of the current price of $2.86 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/VFF/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this VFF valuation
  • Financial statements: Village Farms International, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001584549) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for VFF as of ; valuations recomputed .

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