What Is Alico, Inc. (ALCO) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the balance of valuation evidence tilts cautious on Alico, Inc. at its current price of $40.95. The composite intrinsic value is estimated at $22.80 (-44.3% average return), with 7 models flagging overvaluation risk. Model dispersion is worth noting: First Chicago targets $51.81 (+26.5%), versus ML-RIV at $1.53 (-96.3%). This +122.8% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.
What Do the Models Say About ALCO?
10 of 13 models are currently active for ALCO. Of these, 3 models suggest upside while 7 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates ALCO's intrinsic value at $2.27, implying -94.5% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does ALCO Rank in Farm Products?
Among 5 Farm Products stocks, ALCO ranks #3 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 5.8/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 5.8 reflects mixed fundamentals.
Alico, Inc. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.
Is ALCO a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns ALCO a score of 34/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
10 of 13 models are active for Alico, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Alico, Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 5.8/10. This respectable score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +122.8% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every ALCO valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across ALCO's 10 active models, average confidence is 35%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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